"У Трампа остался должок!" | Клинцевич: раскачка Беларуси, деньги Зеленского и битва за Арктику
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It is 'inevitable' that Russia will strike Britain 'and wipe it off the earth' with missiles in revenge for Storm Shadow attacks, Putin hardliner MP warns
A hardline Russian MP has warned that it is 'inevitable' that Russia will strike Britain directly with missiles to wipe it off the Earth.
Andrey Gurulev, a reservist general and pro-Putin MP, insisted that the Kremlin would avenge the Ukrainian use of British Storm Shadow missiles against his country.
He told Kremlin-controlled state television: 'There's still going to come a point where we're going to strike. It is inevitable.
'The question is simply a matter of time and decision-making. And there is no other way.
'If today Britain is hitting our territory with its missiles from Ukraine, everyone realises that they will not fly anywhere without NATO control systems and satellite navigation.
The Russian defence ministry claims six Storm Shadows were fired at Bryansk region on Tuesday alone as part of Ukraine's largest aerial bombardment of the war on Vladimir Putin's territory. Moscow claimed the £2 million missiles were shot down.
Another two Storm Shadows were shot down over the Black Sea, it was alleged.
Today's Russian onslaught on Ukraine is seen as revenge for the strikes a day earlier which hit chemical plants and fuel facilities.
But Gurulev said Putin would ultimately strike directly on Britain.
Andrey Gurulev, a Russian reservist general who serves as a hardline pro-Putin MP and TV propagandist, threatened Britain with being wiped off the planet
A Russian Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile launch on April 20, 2022
'I believe that this is a direct reason for Britain to simply not be on Earth,' he said.
'And I'm not the only one who thinks that, we're not the only ones who think that.
'I think 80 per cent of the world will clap for us. That's 100 per cent.'
TV propagandists have previously suggested using Putin's new Satan-2 missile - known to the Russians as Sarmat - to obliterate Britain.
This is a 208-ton intercontinental silo-launched 15,880mph hypersonic nuclear missile, the size of a 14-storey tower block.
It is supposedly deployed with the Russian nuclear forces.
Bryansk region was also hit with half a dozen US-supplied ATACMS missiles, according to the Russians.
Earlier this week Gurulev mooted Putin and Donald Trump carving up Greenland - getting half of the territory each.
He also forecast Russian seizing Spitsbergen, a Norwegian island in the Arctic where military operations are banned, and use it as a defence stronghold.
TV propagandists have previously suggested using Putin's new Satan-2 missile - known to the Russians as Sarmat - to obliterate Britain (pictured, file, January 12 in Moscow)
A view of a Polish donated Krab mobile howitzer for Ukrainian army in the direction of Chasiv Yar, Ukraine on January 9
Russia launched a massive aerial attack against Ukraine on Wednesday, forcing the country to introduce preventive power cuts, the Ukrainian energy minister said.
'The enemy continues to terrorize Ukrainians,' Herman Halushchenko wrote on Facebook, urging residents to stay in shelters during the ongoing threat and follow official updates.
The state energy company Ukrenergo reported emergency power outages in the Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kirovohrad regions.
Russian forces launched missile strikes targeting energy infrastructure in the western Lviv region early Wednesday, said the city's mayor, Andrii Sadovyi.
'During the morning attack, enemy cruise missiles were recorded in the region,' he said.
No casualties or damage were reported.
'The enemy attacked the energy infrastructure of our region and Ukraine,' Andriy Sadovyi wrote on social media.
'Emergency shutdowns have been introduced in 6 regions, but Lviv is not on this list yet.'
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NATO warplanes are scrambled as Putin launches huge attack near Poland border
NATO scrambled its warplanes early today in response to a fierce Russian bombardment of Ukraine close to its border with Poland.
The Russian strikes - hitting vital energy facilities in the coldest weeks of winter - were led by Vladimir Putin's Tu-22 and Tu-95 strategic bombers.
The onslaught was seen as instant revenge for Tuesday's Ukrainian aerial strikes on Russia, the heaviest of the almost three year war.
In particular, Putin was rattled by Ukraine's use of British Storm Shadow and American ATACMS missiles which hit key defence facilities including a chemical plant in Bryansk region.
NATO forces went on full alert in Poland with warplanes scrambled, the country's operational command headquarters said.
'Duty fighter pairs have been scrambled, and the ground-based air defence and radar reconnaissance systems have reached the highest state of readiness,' said a statement.
'The steps taken are aimed at ensuring security in the areas bordering the threatened areas.'
President Zelensky described it as 'another massive Russian attack' and said Putin's forces had continued to focus their attacks on his country's energy infrastructure as Ukrainians face the harsh winter cold.
Ukrainians take shelter in Kyiv's metro station during a Russian bombardment of the capital
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File image shows a Rafale B standard F4 fighter jet of France's air force flies as part of NATO's Enhanced Air Policing (eAP) mission in the Baltic States, on Dezember 17, 2024
'Among their objectives were gas and energy facilities that sustain normal life for our people,' he said.
He added that more than 40 missiles had been launched in the attack, including ballistic missiles. At least 30 of these were destroyed, he said.
Additionally, more than 70 Russian attack drones were launched during the night.
Zelensky issued an appeal to Ukraine's western allies to rapidly shore up its air defences, stating that 'promises made by partners at the NATO summit in Washington... still remain partially unfulfilled.'
Andriy Sadovyi, mayor of the western city of Lviv, said that 'during the morning attack, enemy cruise missiles were recorded on the territory of the region.'
Some seven TU-22M3 and six TU-95MS strategic bombers were in the air with the Ukrainian capital Kyiv among the targets.
Russia had earlier vowed to respond to Tuesday's attacks when a reported 14 Western missiles and more than 200 drones hit chemical plants, energy facilities and other defence-related targets in Russia in Ukraine's most ambitious aerial strike of the entire war.
'The actions by the Kyiv regime supported by Western handlers will trigger retaliation,' said the Russian defence ministry in a statement.
Russia claimed to have shot down eight £2million Storm Shadow missiles but this could not be verified.
Today Russia attacked with Kh-22 missiles, triggering emergency power outages in multiple Ukrainian regions, already hit by crippling electricity shortages due to earlier Putin strikes.
Sea-launched Kalibr missiles were also deployed. Gas facilities were also hit.
Herman Halushchenko, Kyiv's Energy Minister, warned: 'The enemy does not stop terrorising Ukrainians.
'Due to the mass attack, the operator of the transmission system applies preventive measures of restrictions.
'Stay tuned for official announcements. While the danger lasts - stay in shelters!'
Svitlana Onishchuk, head of the Ivano-Frankivsk military administration, said: 'The morning in Ukraine began with rocket fire.
'The enemy used various types of weapons.
'In the Carpathian region, the target was critical infrastructure facilities. Air Defence Forces were operating in the region.
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Ukraine also hit Russia overnight, setting fire to a key Lukoil refinery in Volgograd.
Footage showed a huge explosion at the strategic plant.
NATO launches new Baltic Sea mission to protect undersea cables
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"Отпуск Европы от истории закончился", - заявил президент Финляндии в интервью Euronews
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Два корабля НАТО, входящих в миссию ”Балтийский часовой”, прибыли в Финский залив
НАТО во вторник объявило о миссии "Балтийский часовой", цель которой - предотвращение ущерба критически важной подводной инфраструктуре.
Два корабля НАТО сейчас находятся в Финском заливе. Это подтверждает сервис Vessel Finder, который отслеживает движения судов.
Утром НАТО опубликовало в сервисе X фотографию кораблей в Балтийском море. В обновлении использовался хэштег Baltic Sentry, что означает ”Балтийский часовой”.
НАТО отправило корабли после того, как в Балтийском море были повреждены электрический кабель и несколько телекоммуникационных кабелей во время рождественских праздников. В повреждении кабелей подозревается судно Eagle S.
В Балтийское море также направляются несколько других военных кораблей НАТО, подводные лодки, самолеты наблюдения и подводные дроны.
Генеральный секретарь НАТО Марк Рютте сообщил во вторник, что альянс запускает проект ”Балтийский часовой”. Он направлен на предотвращение ущерба критически важной инфраструктуре.
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NATO launches 'Baltic Sentry' to increase critical infrastructure security
NATO Secretary General, Mark Rutte co-hosted a Summit of Baltic Sea Allies on Tuesday (14 January 2025), along with President Alexander Stubb of Finland and Prime Minister Kristen Michal of Estonia.
At the meeting in Helsinki, Mr Rutte announced the launch of a new military activity by NATO to strengthen the protection of critical infrastructure. “Baltic Sentry” will enhance NATO’s military presence in the Baltic Sea and improve Allies’ ability to respond to destabilizing acts.
At the Summit, leaders from across the region addressed the growing threat to critical undersea infrastructure. The Secretary General said recent sabotage had damaged energy and communication cables, but he was confident that, “by working together with all Allies – we will do what it takes to ensure the safety and security not only of our critical infrastructure but of all that we hold dear.”
“Baltic Sentry” will involve a range of assets, including frigates and maritime patrol aircraft. The Secretary General also announced the deployment of new technologies, including a small fleet of naval drones, and highlighted that NATO will work with Allies to integrate national surveillance assets – all to improve the ability to protect critical undersea infrastructure and respond if required. NATO will work within the Critical Undersea Infrastructure Network, which includes industry, to explore further ways to protect infrastructure and improve resilience of underwater assets.
Mr Rutte also stressed the importance of robust enforcement. He highlighted how Finland has demonstrated that firm action within the law is possible, “Ship captains must understand that potential threats to our infrastructure will have consequences, including possible boarding, impounding, and arrest.”
For more information about Baltic Sentry, see the news release from NATO’s Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE).
Allies participating in the Summit signed a joint declaration, the text of which is available here.
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Десять пунктов Стубба: президент огласил меры, которые страны НАТО Балтийского моря согласовали для обеспечения безопасности в регионе
Безопасность в Балтийском регионе будет усилена за счет военного присутствия и технологических решений. Финляндия в деталях рассказала об успешной модели действия в случае с танкером Eagle S.
Президент республики Александер Стубб на совместной пресс-конференции с премьер-министром Эстонии Кристеном Михалом и генеральным секретарем НАТО Марком Рютте подвел итоги Балтийской встречи в Хельсинки, выделив десять пунктов для усиления безопасности в регионе.
Во вторник в Хельсинки собрались лидеры восьми стран НАТО Балтийского региона из Финляндии, Дании, Эстонии, Германии, Латвии, Литвы, Польши и Швеции.
1. Резкое осуждение случаев повреждения критической инфраструктуры
Восемь стран осуждают участившиеся атаки на критическую подводную инфраструктуру. По словам Стубба, резкое совместное заявление демонстрирует успех саммита.
2. Средства для противодействия угрозам имеются
Страны готовы и далее принимать решительные и целенаправленные меры, когда критическая инфраструктура находится под угрозой. По словам Стубба, ответные меры в случае с танкером Eagle S показывают, что возможность и готовность к действиям существуют.
3. Усиление присутствия НАТО в Балтийском море
Генеральный секретарь НАТО Марк Рютте сообщил о запуске проекта ”Балтийский часовой” (Baltic Sentry) для обеспечения безопасности инфраструктуры в Балтийском море. В операции примут участие корабли, самолеты и дроны. Системы наблюдения будут более эффективно интегрированы с системами НАТО.
4. Более активное использование технологий
Современные технологии будут еще больше использоваться для контроля как судоходства, так и подводных операций.
5. Средства воздействия на теневой флот России
По словам Стубба, страны НАТО Балтийского региона продолжат решительные действия в отношении теневого флота России.
6. Меморандум о взаимопонимании
Страны НАТО Балтийского региона подпишут меморандум о взаимопонимании по критической инфраструктуре Балтийского моря. Он будет аналогичен уже имеющемуся у Финляндии и Эстонии.
7. Эксперты по морскому праву для поиска действенных мер
Страны-участницы встречи сформируют группу из юридических экспертов для поиска средств в соответствии с международным морским законодательством, чтобы противодействовать гибридному влиянию в морских районах.
8. Подробный отчет об успешной ”модели действий Eagle S”
На встрече было решено, что Финляндия поэтапно представит своим союзникам по НАТО модель действий, использованную на корабле Eagle S в декабре 2024 года.
9. Тесное сотрудничество ЕС и НАТО
Достигнуто соглашение о продолжении тесного сотрудничества между ЕС и НАТО.
10. Брифинг для всего НАТО о том, что было согласовано в Хельсинки
Стубб добавил десятым пунктом, что, хотя саммит в Хельсинки касался стран НАТО Балтийского региона, другие государства-члены НАТО будут подробно проинформированы о результатах встречи.
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Конфискацию якоря Eagle S не удалось оспорить через суд
Якорь танкера был конфискован Центральной криминальной полицией в рамках расследования.
Уездный суд Хельсинки одобрил конфискацию якоря нефтяного танкера Eagle S, который подозревается в повреждении кабеля Estlink 2.
Судоходная компания Caravella, владеющая танкером, потребовала отменить конфискацию якоря через суд. Компанию в суде представляет адвокат Герман Юнгберг.
Сторона защиты настаивала, что финское государство не имеет юрисдикции над якорем, который находится в международных водах. Также Юнгберг указывал, что якорь не принадлежит финскому судну, поэтому у Финляндии не может быть основания для его конфискации.
Адвокат заявил, что дважды посещал судно Eagle S и поговорил с командой.
В Центральной криминальной полиции заявили, что, по имеющейся у них информации, якорь, судя по всему, принадлежит Eagle S. Следователи подозревают, что именно этот якорь использовался для повреждения кабеля. Сейчас якорь проходит техническую экспертизу.
У полиции сейчас девять подозреваемых. Всем членам экипажа выдана подписка о невыезде.
Само судно конфисковано. Юнгберг пытался оспорить это решение, но сделать этого не удалось.
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Joint Statement of the Baltic Sea NATO Allies Summit
President of Finland Alexander Stubb, Prime Minister of Estonia Kristen Michal, Prime Minister of Denmark Mette Frederiksen, Federal Chancellor of Germany Olaf Scholz, President of Latvia Edgars Rinkēvičs, President of Lithuania Gitanas Nausėda, Prime Minister of Poland Donald Tusk and Prime Minister of Sweden Ulf Kristersson have issued a joint statement in the presence of NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and Executive Vice-President of the European Commission Henna Virkkunen at the Baltic Sea NATO Allies Summit in Helsinki on Tuesday 14 January 2025.
We, the Heads of State or Government of Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Sweden, have met today in Helsinki, in the presence of the Secretary General of NATO and the Executive Vice President of the European Commission, to address the recent increase in serious incidents damaging critical undersea infrastructure in the Baltic Sea.
We are deeply concerned by actions, be they negligent or malicious, which cause damage to or threaten the functioning of critical undersea infrastructure. We strongly condemn acts of sabotage to critical undersea infrastructure.
We are determined to deter, detect and counter any attempts at sabotage. Any attack against our infrastructure will be met with a robust and determined response. We stand ready to attribute hostile actions committed by malign actors, as appropriate.
We welcome that NATO has launched the enhanced Vigilance Activity “Baltic Sentry” to improve situational awareness and deter hostile activities. We welcome the efforts of Allies to deploy additional assets at sea, in the air, on land and below the surface of the sea, to enhance vigilance and deterrence. The Commander Task Force-Baltic in Rostock has been activated and coordinates Allied ships in the Baltic Sea. NATO´s Maritime Centre for the Security of Critical Undersea Infrastructure and NATO´s Critical Undersea Infrastructure Network will support efforts to protect and secure vital undersea assets.
Moreover, the involved nations are coordinating the employment of different options and assets. As an example, the Commander Task Force-Baltic works towards establishing an integrated regional picture on critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea that contributes to NATO’s work in protecting critical undersea infrastructure.
We continue to strengthen our deterrence and defence, modernise our capabilities, recognising the urgent need for increased defence expenditure to address and counter evolving security threats.
We will work, including within the NATO framework, to begin deploying innovative solutions, developing new technologies for surveillance and tracking of suspicious vessels and undersea monitoring. This will include enhanced partnerships with the private sector, in particular infrastructure operators and cutting-edge technology companies. We will actively exchange information, track and assess incidents to analyse trends, and share best practices of our response.
We remain prepared to act individually and collectively to protect our critical undersea infrastructure and increase resilience, including by building on and expanding the existing NATO-EU cooperation. We welcome additional measures undertaken by Allies and partners to strengthen security in our region, which reinforce existing and planned NATO responses.
Together, we will identify further measures in accordance with international law of the sea, including the freedom of navigation, to prevent and effectively respond to willful damaging of critical undersea infrastructure or irresponsible behaviour. Such behaviour interferes, inter alia, with the freedom to lay cables and pipelines and poses a significant risk to the marine environment. We will also take actions for accountability and stronger enforcement against those responsible for damaging undersea infrastructure, including compensation for damage.
We will take further steps to enhance resilience of our communications network and energy infrastructure, including reliable supply chains, enhancing physical and cybersecurity measures, developing European undersea surveillance capabilities and swift repair capacity, engaging with the private sector. We will work towards a Memorandum of Understanding on Critical Infrastructure Protection in the region.
Combatting breakage of undersea cables and pipelines represents a global problem. We urge all States to adhere to their obligations to adopt laws and regulations necessary to provide that the breaking of or injury to a cable or pipeline in the high seas or exclusive economic zones by a ship flying their flag or by a person subject to their jurisdiction shall be a punishable offence, and to prosecute as appropriate.
Russia´s use of the so-called shadow fleet poses a particular threat to the maritime and environmental security in the Baltic Sea region and globally. This reprehensible practice also threatens the integrity of undersea infrastructure, increases risks connected to sea-dumped chemical munitions, and significantly supports funding of Russia’s illegal war of aggression against Ukraine.
We are taking robust steps to address these threats. We reserve our rights, in accordance with international law, to take action against any suspected vessels that circumvent sanctions and threaten our security, infrastructure and the environment. In close coastal state co-operation, we are increasing surveillance of the vessels, including the inspections of vessel insurance certificates. Additionally, further measures, including the introduction of tracking tools and the extension of sanctions targeting the shadow fleet, will be put into practice. We encourage further EU-NATO cooperation in responding to the threats caused by the reckless activities of vessels serving Russian cargo flow.
Increasing the security of the Baltic Sea and its critical undersea infrastructure is a joint interest for the Alliance and the EU. Through our joint actions, as outlined in this declaration, we actively contribute to efforts to secure and safeguard our undersea critical infrastructure, thereby strengthening NATO’s collective efforts and advancing NATO’s ongoing work, including the renewal of NATO’s maritime strategy, as we approach the NATO Summit in the Hague.
Hostile or reckless actions against critical undersea infrastructure or other critical infrastructure are not limited to the Baltic Sea region. We will ensure coherence and coordination and intensify cooperation to strengthen security in the whole Alliance.
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Лидеры стран НАТО Балтийского моря в срочном порядке прибыли в Хельсинки – Стубб: ”Общий враг укрепляет единство”
По мнению исследователей, встреча имеет большое значение, а высокий уровень участников саммита демонстрирует Финляндии и Эстонии, что союзники заинтересованы в безопасности региона.
Во вторник, 14 января, в Хельсинки собирается авторитетная группа лидеров стран НАТО Балтийского региона для обсуждения мер по улучшению безопасности в регионе.
Толчком к проведению встречи послужили произошедшие в Рождество обрывы подводных кабелей, а также другие подозрительные повреждения кабелей, имевшие место в течение года.
Танкер Eagle S, принадлежащий теневому флоту РФ, подозревается в повреждении электропередающего кабеля и дата-кабелей между Финляндией и Эстонией путем волочения якоря по морскому дну. Этот инцидент стал уже третьим подобным случаем за чуть более года.
Президент республики Александер Стубб и премьер-министр Эстонии Кристен Михал принимают участников встречи в Президентском дворце. Среди присутствующих – генеральный секретарь НАТО Марк Рютте, канцлер Германии Олаф Шольц, премьер-министр Польши Дональд Туск, премьер-министр Дании Метте Фредериксен, премьер-министр Швеции Ульф Кристерссон и заместитель председателя Европейской комиссии Хенна Вирккунен.
Эксперты: организованный в сжатые сроки саммит имеет большое значение
Старший исследователь Института внешней политики Матти Песу отмечает, что высокий уровень участников саммита демонстрирует Финляндии и Эстонии, что союзники заинтересованы в безопасности региона.
– Само проведение этой встречи уже является политическим сигналом о том, что столь значительное количество лидеров смогло найти время в своем расписании, чтобы приехать в Хельсинки для обсуждения этих вопросов в столь короткие сроки.
Директор Международного центра оборонных исследований Эстонии Кристи Райк тоже говорит, что быстрое активирование Североатлантического альянса в регионе Балтийского моря имеет большое значение. Эксперт полагает, что саммит, организованный в сжатые сроки, укрепит сдерживающий потенциал НАТО.
Райк также считает, что Россия не ожидала, что НАТО возьмет на себя активную роль в ответе на гибридные действия.
– Я полагаю, что Россия решила испытать такую форму гибридного воздействия в надежде вызвать хаос и неуверенность в странах Балтийского региона. Теперь же в сторону России посылают сигнал, что такими методами этого не стоит пытаться добиться, иначе последует мощная ответная реакция.
Президент Стубб в интервью Yle: страны Балтийского региона весьма едины
– Действительно, общий враг укрепляет единство, – заявил президент Александер Стубб в интервью Yle перед началом встречи.
Цель встречи заключается в том, чтобы продемонстрировать готовность стран Балтийского моря действовать и осуществлять более широкий контроль над регионом. По словам Стубба, страны региона весьма едины.
Стубб не стал комментировать, какая организация или страна стоит за обрывами подводных кабелей, отметив, что, по большому счету, есть два варианта.
– Не стоит спешить с выводами, лучше провести тщательное расследование. Здесь есть два варианта: это было сделано намеренно или это произошло случайно.
Вирккунен: Еврокомиссия серьезно относится к киберугрозам
Заместитель председателя Европейской комиссии Хенна Вирккунен заявила, что Комиссия очень серьезно относится к киберугрозам и хочет поблагодарить политических лидеров Финляндии за их чрезвычайно эффективные действия.
– Важно, чтобы ЕС и НАТО тесно сотрудничали, поскольку наши действия взаимодополняемы. Защита критической инфраструктуры является национальной компетенцией, но ЕС готов поддерживать государства-члены, – сказала Вирккунен по прибытии на встречу.
По ее словам, ЕС сейчас инвестирует в новые технологии, где ”умные кабели” могут использоваться как сенсоры для мониторинга подводной инфраструктуры. Также в ЕС разрабатывается новая инициатива по увеличению инвестиций в кабельные соединения.
Эти инвестиции должны гарантировать, что ни одна страна-член не будет зависеть от одного канала связи.
После полудня запланирована пресс-конференция, в которой примут участие президент Александер Стубб, генеральный секретарь НАТО Марк Рютте и премьер-министр Эстонии Кристен Михал.
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Власти Британии заинтересованы в расследовании авиакатастрофы самолёта Embraer 190 в Актау
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Russia planned 'acts of terrorism' in the air, Polish PM says
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Germany tells troops to shoot down drones on sight after wave of suspicious UAVs was seen over military sites amid hybrid war with Russia
The German cabinet has agreed plans to allow the army to shoot down suspicious drones after several sightings over military sites, the government announced today, as Russia is accused of waging a 'hybrid war' against the West.
Interior Minister Nancy Faeser said that 'especially since Putin's war of aggression against Ukraine, we have seen that drones are being used more and more frequently, which poses an increasing challenge for the police and their current technology.'
The ministry said that 'security services have noted that reports of sightings of uncooperative drones over critical infrastructure and military properties in Germany are increasing.'
'Espionage or sabotage are regularly considered as a possible reason,' it added in a statement, as tensions between Moscow and Berlin continue to run high.
Under current regulations, soldiers can assist the police in forcing an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to change direction or land, threaten to shoot it down or fire warning shots.
But under the new proposals, a drone could be shot down by the army if it is believed the device is being 'used against the lives of people or against a critical facility, and the use of armed force is the only means of averting this present danger', the ministry said.
Unidentified drones have been spotted flying over several military bases and other sensitive sites in Germany in recent months, at a time when the country is on high alert for Russian espionage.
Police in the southern state of Bavaria this week said they were looking into several incidents in which drones had flown over military installations in Manching and Neuburg an der Donau.
In this photo taken from a video released by Russian Defense Ministry press service on Monday, Nov. 25, 2024, Russian serviceman launches a FPV-drone towards Ukrainian position in an undisclosed location
Russian President Vladimir Putin is pictured on January 15 hosting a video conference meeting
A Russian drone flies in the sky over Kyiv following a missile strike on the city in November
The Manching site hosts a military aerodrome and is where the Eurofighter jet is developed by Airbus.
Several drones have also recently been spotted at an industrial zone near the North Sea and near the US airbase in Ramstein.
The changes must still be voted through in the lower and upper houses of parliament before becoming law.
Germany's Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said in October that Moscow was using 'hybrid means' to target Germany, adding: 'We see many, many examples, time and again.'
She cited drone activity around the new gas terminals, suggesting they were 'not there to observe the beautiful local landscape, but because there is a chemical park there and a... storage facility for nuclear waste nearby,'
According to German media reports, the reconnaissance was carried out by unmanned Russian military aircraft. Officials warned the scouting could be 'for the purposes of sabotage'.
It comes as Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk today warned that Russia had planned acts of 'air terror' against airlines worldwide, accusing Moscow of staging sabotage and diversion on Polish soil and beyond.
Members of the Ukrainian police investigate a crater following a strike on the village of Sknyliv, some 60km from Lviv, on January 15
'All I can say, and I will not go into details, but I can confirm the validity of these fears, is that Russia has been planning acts of air terror, and not only against Poland, but against airlines all over the world,' Tusk told reporters.
Russian spies were accused of sending a package full of erotic gadgets to DHL depots in Britain and Germany last year in an alleged 'test-run' for a larger attack on a US-bound flight.
Two incendiary devices had been shipped via a DHL logistics centre on July 22 from Lithuania to Birmingham, England, and Leipzig, Germany, resulting in a fire.
It was later revealed the explosives were hidden in a box containing sex toys and massage pillows.
Moscow has also been accused of jamming satellite systems for civilian air flights with state of the art technology.
The Kremlin has been accused of trying to undermine European interests over their backing of Kyiv and sharp sanctions on Moscow since the war in Ukraine began almost three years ago.
In August, Russia was accused of flying multiple drones over Germany to collect sensitive information on a nuclear power plant. Germany decommissioned the last of its nuclear power plants in 2023 after years of fierce debate.
Intelligence officers blamed Russia, telling Bild drones were scouting over Brunsbütte as a potential target for sabotage.
Pictured: A fire ignited at a plant in Berlin containing poisonous sulphuric acid and copper cyanide that is reportedly linked to missiles supplied to Ukraine
In July, US intelligence uncovered a plot they believe shows Russian intent to sponsor a series of assassinations of defence industry executives across Europe, including Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger, a staunch supporter of Ukraine.
A top German official confirmed that Berlin was warned about the plot by the US, and western officials said the Papperger plot was the most far along.
Rheinmetall is the top German manufacturer of 155mm artillery shells used by Ukraine to deter the Russian advance. The company was on the brink of opening a new plant within Ukraine tasked with producing armoured vehicles as news of the foiled plot broke.
Baerbock said Russia was waging a hybrid war of aggression, including cyberattacks and sabotage of infrastructure.
'This underlines once again that we as Europeans must protect ourselves as best we can and not be naïve,' she said.
'Russia's intensifying campaign of subversion is something that we are taking extremely seriously and have been intently focused on over the past few months,' National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson told CNN at the time.
'The United States has been discussing this issue with our NATO Allies, and we are actively working together to expose and disrupt these activities,' she said, reiterating support for Ukraine in the face of destabilisation efforts.
Russia has been accused of trying to destabilise Ukraine's allies since the war in Ukraine began.
Moscow also allegedly upped its subversive activities after Biden relaxed rules on Ukraine firing long-range missiles into Russia.
The hybrid warfare tactics they are alleged to have engaged in include the 'weaponising mass migration' along the EU's western border.
Western leaders accused Russia of sabotaging vital cables in the Baltic in November, and have repeatedly accused Russia of sabotaging the Nord Stream pipelines which provide Europe with gas.
There have also been accusations that Russia has influenced elections in Moldova and Georgia.
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Russia 'has been planning acts of air terror against airlines all over the world', Polish leader warns amid growing fears Putin is plotting an atrocity in the West
Russia has been planning acts of 'air terror' against airlines worldwide, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk sensationally claimed today as he met with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Warsaw.
Mr Tusk accused Moscow of staging sabotage and diversion on Polish soil and beyond.
'All I can say, and I will not go into details, but I can confirm the validity of these fears, is that Russia has been planning acts of air terror, and not only against Poland, but against airlines all over the world,' Tusk told reporters.
It comes just weeks after Russia was accused of shooting down an Azerbaijan Airlines plane over its soil, before the plane crash landed in Kazakhstan, killing 83.
Government sources blamed Russia but said they did not think it was done on purpose.
Ten years ago, Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was also shot down over eastern Ukraine in territory controlled by Russian and Russia-led forces, killing 298, including 80 children. A Joint Investigation Team found that the plane was hit by a Russian missile from the Russian 53rd Anti-aircraft Brigade.
Counter-terrorism police were last year said to be investigating suspected Russian involvement in the planting of a hidden incendiary device in a parcel on a plane headed for Britain.
The device burst into flames at a warehouse and no injuries were reported, but investigators believe there could have been far more serious consequences had it ignited while in flight.
The allegation comes amid growing fears Putin could be plotting to use 'hybrid warfare' to undermine Ukraine's backers in the West.
Defence officials warned in November that Europe remains 'totally unprepared' to deal with such threats, lacking the resources to effectively counter sabotage, arson, assassination and attacks on infrastructure.
Putin has been accused of plotting to use 'hybrid warfare' to undermine Ukraine's allies
File photo. The Polish prime minister accused Russia of planning terror attacks against airlines
Two incendiary devices had been shipped via a DHL logistics centre on July 22 to Birmingham , England, and Leipzig, Germany, resulting in a fire
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy (not pictured) attend a press conference in Warsaw, Poland, January 15, 2025
A former senior European official told the Guardian said Europe could expect more 'hybrid' attacks to unfold on the continent in the wake of the American decision to permit usage of long-range ATACMS missiles against targets deep inside Russia.
Russia has been accused of trying to destabilise the West and allies since the war in Ukraine began by allegedly 'weaponising mass migration' along its western border; sabotaging Nord Stream pipelines providing Europe with gas; influencing elections in Moldova and Georgia; jamming aircraft GPS; and even sending exploding sex toys to Western Europe.
The cutting of crucial underseas telecommunications cables in the Baltic Sea in November generated outrage and stark warnings about Russia's ability to allegedly interfere in European affairs.
A 135-mile internet link between Lithuania and Sweden's Gotland Island went out of service, according to a local supplier, before a 745-mile cable running from Helsinki to Rostock, Germany went offline.
Finland and Germany said in a joint statement that they were investigating 'an incident (that) immediately raises suspicions of intentional damage' before European ministers put together a joint statement blaming Russia on Tuesday.
UK and EU ministers said Russia's hybrid attacks were 'escalating' and 'unprecedented' in scale, posing security risks.
The German cabinet has since agreed plans to allow the army to shoot down suspicious drones after several sightings over military sites.
Interior Minister Nancy Faeser said that 'especially since Putin's war of aggression against Ukraine, we have seen that drones are being used more and more frequently, which poses an increasing challenge for the police and their current technology.'
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk shake hands in Warsaw today
The ministry said that 'security services have noted that reports of sightings of uncooperative drones over critical infrastructure and military properties in Germany are increasing.'
'Espionage or sabotage are regularly considered as a possible reason,' it added in a statement, as tensions between Moscow and Berlin continue to run high.
Under current regulations, soldiers can assist the police in forcing an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to change direction or land, threaten to shoot it down or fire warning shots.
But under the new proposals, a drone could be shot down by the army if it is believed the device is being 'used against the lives of people or against a critical facility, and the use of armed force is the only means of averting this present danger', the ministry said.
Poland, with a deeply scarred history with Russia, made overtures to redressing historic tensions with Ukraine today as Donald Tusk stood defiant against the perceived threat from Moscow.
Speaking at a press conference at the Chancellery of the Prime Minister in Warsaw today, Tusk vowed to use his country's presidency of the EU to push forward with Ukraine's membership quest.
'We will break the standstill we have in this issue,' Tusk told reporters in Warsaw, as he stood alongside Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. 'We will accelerate the accession process.'
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Russia must be ready for World War Three within three years, pro-Putin MP declares
Russia must be ready for World War Three within three years, a pro-Putin MP has warned in the latest grave threat to Ukraine's western allies.
Aleksey Zhuravlyov, deputy head of Russia’s parliamentary defence committee, urged that while Russia has enough volunteers to fight, it must start to prepare the male population for a major confrontation with the West by 2028-29.
'Europe explains to us that in 2028–2029 [it and its allies] will be ready to fight Russia,' he assessed. 'Here it is necessary to prepare the male population and, naturally, defend the Motherland. We must talk about this and not be ashamed of it.'
Responding to the comments, Yuri Shvytkin, deputy chair of the State Duma Defence Committee, firmly agreed with the assessment, telling Ridus that 'every Russian must understand that in the event of external aggression, he must take up arms and defend the Motherland.'
He shied away from calling for immediate mobilisation, suggesting the threat was not yet a pressing issue.
Senior Russian MP Aleksey Zhuravlyov, deputy head of the parliamentary defence committee
War-mongering nationalist politician Zhuravlyov, 62, an MP for the nationalist so-called Liberal Democratic Party and a TV propagandist, is under Western sanctions for supporting Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.
Russia has significantly expanded its military in the last 12 months, a move checked by Ukraine and its western allies.
Russia was able to boost the size of its army to 1.5 million active personnel in September 2024, making it the second largest in the world, per Russia media.
But the war in Ukraine has had an enormous toll on Russia's manpower.
In a release published on January 2, 2025, Ukraine's Defence Ministry assessed that Russia had suffered 430,790 casualties - deaths and wounded - in 2024.
In November, the WSJ reported that Russia had lost some 200,000 soldiers to the conflict so far.
U.S. President Joe Biden's administration urged Ukraine to lower its age of conscription from 25 to 18 in November in order to boost the size of its military and stay in the fight with Russia.
Europe has also responded to the perceived growing threat on its border by summoning more troops of its own.
A report by Der Spiegel in the summer said as many as 800,000 NATO soldiers from the security bloc could be hosted by Germany as they transit to posts further East.
Military chiefs in Britain were last year also planning the biggest mass mobilisation of reservists in 20 years, a move intended to test the 'deployment readiness' of more than 10,000 men.
Poland has been massively investing in its military since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, last year offering military training programmes for civilians to maximise combat readiness.
Putin has played up to his MP's recurring threats of impending Armageddon.
The Russian dictator said in late December that a global conflict could erupt if the West continues 'escalating the situation'.
You know, there is no need to scare anyone,' he told a state TV reporter, caveating, 'there are many dangers - they are increasing'.
'And we see what our enemy is doing today, escalating the situation. If they want to, let them live badly, let them escalate further.
'We will always respond to any challenge, always,' he said.
Putin glossed over his role in escalating conflict in Europe with the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, instead boasting of his personal role in the 'historic' development of the Oreshnik hypersonic missile.
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У Стармера с Зеленским много общего: обеим присущ «комплекс неуловимого Джо».
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Starmer says air raid during his visit to Kyiv shows Putin 'doesn't want peace' as he vows Britain 'won't let up' on supporting Ukraine ahead of Trump's return to White House
Keir Starmer insisted an air raid during his visit to Kyiv today showed Vladimir Putin 'doesn't want peace' as he vowed Britain will not 'let up' on support for Ukraine.
At a press conference with Volodymyr Zelensky, the PM said the countries would be standing shoulder to shoulder 'for a hundred years, long after this terrible war is over'.
Explosions and sirens were heard in the Ukrainian capital as Sir Keir made his first trip since taking charge of Downing Street - and days before Donald Trump resumes control of the White House.
Sir Keir pointed to the attacks as evidence of Russia's determination to prolong the conflict. 'Let's be clear, we all want this war to end, no-one wants that more than Ukrainians, but right now Putin shows no sign of wanting peace,' he said.
'The attacks here today are a reminder of the daily attacks and the resolve of the Ukrainian people in the face of it.'
Mr Zelensky said they had discussed a French-backed proposal for Western peacekeepers to monitor a future ceasefire, but it's 'a bit too early to talk about details'.
Asked by Sky News during his trip to Kyiv whether he would be prepared to commit British troops as part of a peacekeeping force, Sir Keir replied: 'Well, I don't want to get ahead of ourselves
'But I have indicated that we will play our full part - because this isn't just about sovereignty in Ukraine.
'It's about what the impact is back in the UK and our values, our freedom, our democracy.
'Because if Russia succeeds in this aggression, it will impact all of us for a very, very long time.'
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Sir Keir is due to announce another £40million for Ukraine's post-war economic recovery, on top of the £12.8billion in military and civilian aid offered since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022.
At a press conference with Volodymyr Zelensky, the PM said the countries would be standing shoulder to shoulder 'for a hundred years, long after this terrible war is over'
Explosions and sirens were heard in the Ukrainian capital as Sir Keir made his first trip since taking charge of Downing Street
Mr Zelensky said they had discussed a French-backed proposal for Western peacekeepers to monitor a future ceasefire, but it's 'a bit too early to talk about details'
The Prime Minister is expected to sign a 'landmark 100-year partnership to deepen security ties' between the UK and Ukraine
The British Prime Minister's visit to Ukraine comes at a pivotal moment for Ukraine's allies in the conflict against Russia, ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Monday
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The treaty additionally includes a system to help track stolen Ukrainian grain exported by Russia from occupied parts of the country.
'Putin's ambition to wrench Ukraine away from its closest partners has been a monumental strategic failure. Instead, we are closer than ever, and this partnership will take that friendship to the next level,' Starmer said ahead of the visit.
'This is not just about the here and now, it is also about an investment in our two countries for the next century, bringing together technology development, scientific advances and cultural exchanges, and harnessing the phenomenal innovation shown by Ukraine in recent years for generations to come.'
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Putin is willing to kill innocent civilians in airline terror atrocities against the West with Europe warned to expect surge in attacks 'soon', expert warns
Putin will not shy away from causing mass casualties in the next phase of Russia's 'hidden war' against the West, an expert has claimed in the wake of suspected 'hybrid' efforts to sow disruption in Europe through alleged sabotage plots.
Keir Giles, an expert on the Russia at Chatham House, told Metro that civilians are 'likely' to be the victims of future plots, and that the West should expect a surge in terror attacks soon.
The Kremlin has been accused of orchestrating attacks on European soil as retribution for the West's broad backing of Ukraine against Russia's full-scale invasion, or to undermine support for Kyiv.
Counter-terrorism police in Britain were last year said to be investigating suspected Russian involvement in the planting of a hidden incendiary device in a parcel on a plane headed for the UK. The device ultimately burst into flames in a warehouse and no casualties were reported.
Mr Giles said that where, during the Cold War, Russia sponsored terrorist movements to carry out attacks in Europe, 'now with these airlines parcel plots, the willingness from Russia to cause mass casualties has returned'.
'We should soon expect a surge in Russian state terrorist attacks across Europe,' he cautioned.
The stark warning came as Poland's Prime Minister claimed that Russia has been planning acts of 'air terror' against airlines worldwide, staging sabotage and diversion on Polish soil and beyond.
Mr Giles told the outlet that Russia's neighbours in northern Europe have been ringing alarm bells 'for years' about the Kremlin's disruptive tactics.
But without hard consequences to deter such attacks, Moscow has continued getting away with interfering in foreign affairs.
Russia has long been accused of meddling in elections in Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, using cyber capabilities to push narratives to undermine political stability and, by extension, the Baltic commitment to its allies.
It was also accused of interfering in historic votes in Britain and the US election.
Mr Giles warned that it would take a 'substantial disaster' before Europe wakes up to the imminent threat from Russia.
'There's no indication that anybody is still listening to the Nordics and Baltic states' warnings despite the repeated evidence that they were right,' he said.
The cutting of crucial underseas telecommunications cables in the Baltic Sea in November generated outrage and stark warnings about Russia's ability to allegedly interfere in European affairs.
A 135-mile internet link between Lithuania and Sweden's Gotland Island went out of service, according to a local supplier, before a 745-mile cable running from Helsinki to Rostock, Germany went offline.
Bubbles break to the surface amid a leak at the Nord Stream gas pipelines in 2022
(выделено а.п.)
More than 97 per cent of the world's communications are transmitted through sub sea optical fibre cables surrounded by armouring wire and a Polyethylene cover
Finland and Germany said in a joint statement that they were investigating 'an incident (that) immediately raises suspicions of intentional damage' before European ministers put together a joint statement blaming Russia.
A fatal plane crash in Lithuania in November also prompted a sharp response from the state, heavily implying possible Russian involvement.
'We see Russia becoming more aggressive, and foreign partners are also on the air, talking about dangers and cases of sabotage or a certain threat of terrorism,' Darius Jauniškis, head of the State Security Department, said.
Suspicions were also roused when a chemical factory in Berlin went up in flames in May last year, as it was revealed the firm made weapons supplied to Ukraine.
Western security officials said in June that the fire at Diehl Metal Applications was targeted by Russian saboteurs trying to disrupt shipments of critical arms and ammunition.
Russia has been accused of trying to destabilise the West and allies since the war in Ukraine began by allegedly 'weaponising mass migration' along its western border; sabotaging Nord Stream pipelines providing Europe with gas; influencing elections in Moldova and Georgia; jamming aircraft GPS; and even sending exploding sex toys to Western Europe.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk yesterday echoed allegations that Russia was seeking to disrupt Europe in brief comments during a meeting with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy in Warsaw.
'All I can say, and I will not go into details, but I can confirm the validity of these fears, is that Russia has been planning acts of air terror, and not only against Poland, but against airlines all over the world,' Tusk told reporters.
The Kremlin on Thursday dismissed Warsaw's accusations that it had planned acts of 'air terror' against global airlines as proofless, a day after Tusk made the claim.
'This is nothing more than another completely unsubstantiated accusation against Russia,' Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.
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NATO deploys forces to Baltic Sea countering undersea cable sabotage
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Россия пытается увеличить число гарнизонов у границы с Финляндией, но война в Украине лишает ее людей — ”Они далеки от достижения своих целей”
Начальник военной разведки Пекка Турунен говорит, что ситуация с безопасностью, вероятно, сохранится прежней в течение нескольких лет.
Россия не смогла увеличить число солдат в гарнизонах у границ с Финляндией, хотя планировала наращивать численность войск еще до полномасштабной войны в Украине. Об этом сообщает финская военная разведка, отчет которой опубликован Оборонительными силами.
Начальник разведки Генерального штаба Пекка Турунен в интервью Yle сказал, что изменение степени угрозы у границы с Финляндией зависит от хода войны в Украине. Если в Украине наступит устойчивый мир, Россия может перебросить свои войска в другие регионы. Если конфликт заморозится, руки России будут связаны.
– Они далеки от достижения своих целей, – говорит Турунен.
– Война в Украине поглощает ресурсы, и они не могут в данный момент усиливать свои позиции на западном направлении.
Военная разведка опубликовала в четверг, 16 января, обзорный доклад на текущий год. В нем говорится, что пока Россия ведет изнурительную войну в Украине, число российских солдат вблизи Финляндии не будет существенно увеличиваться.
Из гарнизонов, расположенных у границы с Финляндией, Россия отправила многих военнослужащих на украинский фронт. В гарнизонах проходят службу инструкторы, новобранцы и срочники.
– Можно сказать, что каждый гарнизон был как минимум один раз опустошен от солдат. Затем прибывает новая партия для подготовки и затем их снова отправляют дальше, – замечает Турунен.
Финляндия не испытывает прямой военной угрозы
Турунен говорит, что вряд ли Россия сейчас захочет проверить, насколько эффективна оборона НАТО. Он утверждает, что угроза со стороны России останется на нынешнем уровне еще долгое время.
– Речь идет о годах, прежде чем это станет значительной военной угрозой.
Однако так называемое широкомасштабное воздействие, то есть гибридная война, по мнению Турунена, является частью повседневной жизни и, вероятно, будет продолжаться.
Как Россия будет спасать замерзающую Приднестровскую Молдавскую Республику?
Напомню, Украина остановила прокачку российского газа в направлении ПМР и Молдавии.
Приднестровье и РФ обсуждают поставку российского газа путем закупки на европейском спотовом рынке с помощью компании-посредника, сообщает "Коммерсант" со ссылкой на источники.
Расходы в этом случае, вероятно, будет компенсировать Москва. Предварительно, планируется покупка около 3 млн кубометров газа в сутки уже с января по апрель. Это может обойтись в $164 млн.
Ранее комментаторы предполагали, что поставки пойдут по "Турецкому потоку".
Теперь картина с блокированием транзита и ударами по газовой инфраструктуре "Турецкого потока" становится более понятной.
Шантаж, как одно из условий предстоящих переговоров.
Посмотрим, как они попробуют остановить поставки газа из ЕС.
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Rosyjski gaz wróci do Naddniestrza? "W ramach pomocy humanitarnej"
Szef władz nieuznawanego Naddniestrza Wadim Krasnosielski zapowiedział w środę, że Rosja "wkrótce" dostarczy do tego samozwańczego regionu Mołdawii gaz w ramach "pomocy humanitarnej". Według Kiszyniowa za kryzys energetyczny w Naddniestrzu odpowiada rosyjski koncern Gazprom.
Kranosielski na konferencji prasowej poświęconej jego niedawnej wizycie w Moskwie ogłosił, że
wkrótce Rosja dostarczy gaz do Naddniestrza w ramach "pomocy humanitarnej"
- napisał mołdawski serwis NewsMaker. Polityk oświadczył, że "rosyjskiego gazu wystarczy dla mieszkańców i przedsiębiorstw Naddniestrza".
De facto lider separatystycznego regionu nie podał jednak daty rozpoczęcia dostaw. Dodał, że trasa tranzytu zostanie ustalona podczas dodatkowych rozmów.
Krasnosielski wyraził też chęć spotkania z prezydentką Mołdawii Maią Sandu, by "osobiście poinformować ją o sytuacji w regionie".
Za kryzys energetyczny w Naddniestrzu odpowiada rosyjski Gazprom
Według mołdawskiej prezydentki za kryzys energetyczny w Naddniestrzu odpowiada rosyjski Gazprom. "Mołdawia ma kontrakt w sprawie dostawy gazu i na podstawie tego kontraktu Gazprom powinien dostarczać gaz. Istnieje alternatywny gazociąg - Turkish Stream" - oświadczyła Sandu.
We wtorek natomiast, odnosząc się do wizyty Krasnosielskiego w Moskwie, podkreśliła, że Kiszyniów nie utrudnia rozwiązania problemu dostaw. "Chcemy, by ludzie na lewym brzegu Dniestru (w Naddniestrzu - przyp. red.) jak najszybciej mieli znów prąd, ogrzewanie i wodę. I jeśli ta wizyta rozwiąże problem, to niech będzie on rozwiązany" - dodała.
Rosja może wkrótce częściowo wznowić dostawy gazu do Naddniestrza
NewsMaker napisał, że jest to bardzo prawdopodobne, iż
wkrótce Rosja częściowo wznowi dostawy gazu do Naddniestrza
, ale przedstawi to jako osiągnięcie jednego z prorosyjskich polityków Mołdawii.
Naddniestrze do tej pory zaopatrywane było w gaz przez rosyjski Gazprom za pośrednictwem lokalnego dostawcy Tyraspoltransgaz. 1 stycznia Rosja wstrzymała dostawy gazu do Naddniestrza po tym, gdy Ukraina nie przedłużyła umowy z Moskwą na tranzyt gazu przez swoje terytorium.
Separatystyczne władze oświadczyły, że region mierzy się z "kryzysem energetycznym i humanitarnym". Wprowadzono przerwy w dostawie prądu i zamknięto wiele przedsiębiorstw przemysłowych.
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С интересом и понятными ожиданиями, Dimitriy.
Regierung: AfD-Aktion mit "Abschiebetickets" "geschmacklos"
Die deutsche Regierung hat eine Wahlkampfaktion der rechtspopulistischen AfD mit einem "Abschiebeticket" als geschmacklos bezeichnet.
Regierungssprecher Steffen Hebestreit verwies vor Journalisten in Berlin auf Nachfrage zwar darauf, dass sich die Regierung im laufenden Wahlkampf mit Bewertungen zurückhalte. In diesem Falle sehe er aber insoweit davon ab, "dass so was natürlich geschmacklos ist".
Alles Weitere müssten Sicherheitsbehörden oder Strafverfolgungsbehörden übernehmen. "Sich öffentlich darüber zu empören, steht jedem anheim, ich rate dazu", fügte er hinzu.
Ermittlungen wegen des Verdachts der Volksverhetzung
Die Polizei ermittelt wegen des Verdachts der Volksverhetzung. Grund sei ein Hinweis gewesen, wonach in sozialen Medien ein "Abschiebeticket" gepostet wurde, hiess es. Die optisch an Flugtickets angelehnten Flyer richten sich an "illegale Einwanderer".
Das Abflugdatum ist auf den Tag der Bundestagswahl am 23. Februar datiert für die Reise: "Von: Deutschland – Nach: Sicheres Herkunftsland". Ein Sprecher des AfD-Landesverbandes Baden-Württemberg hatte auf Anfrage mitgeteilt, dass es sich um eine Wahlkampfaktion des Kreisverbandes Karlsruhe handele.
Der Karlsruher AfD-Bundestagsabgeordnete und stellvertretende AfD-Landesvorsitzende Marc Bernhard wies auf seinen Social-Media-Kanälen auf die Aktion hin.
Der Wahlwerbeflyer werde derzeit in möglichst grosser Zahl und ohne besondere Vorgaben oder Einschränkungen in Karlsruhe verteilt, schreibt der Kreisverband Karlsruhe auf seiner Homepage. Der Linken zufolge wurden die Flyer in Briefkästen von Menschen mit Migrationshintergrund gesteckt.
The Village People, 8,000 troops, Elon Musk and a snub to Keir Starmer: America braces for Trump's 'peaceful' second inauguration
Donald Trump will be sworn in as president for the second time on Monday, capping one of the most astounding political comebacks in American history.
Inauguration Day, by tradition, is largely dedicated to pomp and circumstance - and Trump's 'peaceful' return to power will be quite the glamorous spectacle with four days of events centered around his swearing-in ceremony on January 20.
Trump will take the oath of office outside the US Capitol building in front of an anticipated crowd of 200,000 people, with Congress members saying the demand for tickets has surpassed the number available for distribution.
Country superstar Carrie Underwood will sing just moments after Trump is sworn into office and Trump favorite the Village People, whose hit YMCA became a MAGA anthem along the campaign trail, are teed up to perform at two inaugural events.
All four living former presidents will attend the festivities, including Joe Biden, despite Trump - who refused to accept his 2020 election loss - not making an appearance at the Democrat's swearing-in ceremony four years ago.
Trump invited China's President Xi Jinping, but not UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, despite Britain being America's closest ally. He also extended the invitation to a clutch of the world's richest men including tech titans Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg.
While civilians are excited about the celebration, authorities are preparing for the 'worst', with thousands of police and soldiers expected to descend on the city.
How will Donald Trump's inauguration day unfold on January 20?
Donald Trump will be sworn in as president of the United States on Monday at 5pm GMT (12pm EST) in front of the US Capitol.
He will then deliver his inaugural address, which he has said in interviews that he intends to be uplifting and unifying - a departure from his first speech in 2017, which detailed a broken country he described as 'American Carnage'.
Beyond that, inaugural festivities are guided by tradition - with a luncheon, a parade and balls generally all part of that special day.
His Inauguration Day will begin with a service at St. John's Church Service, followed by tea at the White House.
He and Vice President-elect JD Vance will be sworn in at the US Capitol at 5pm GMT.
The swearing-in ceremony will be followed by an official farewell for President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Trump will then go to the President's Room near the Senate chamber in the Capitol, where he will sign nominations.
Donald Trump, pictured dancing to YMCA at a MAGA rally last October. will be sworn in as president of the United States on Monday at 5pm GMT in front of the US Capitol
President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump thank guests during the inaugural Armed Forces Ball at the National Building Museum January 20, 2017 in Washington, DC
Following the signing ceremony, he will attend a luncheon hosted by the Joint Congressional Committee on Inaugural Ceremonies.
Trump will then lead the presidential parade with travels from the Capitol to the White House. Upon arrival, he will participate in an Oval Office signing ceremony.
Afterwards, Trump will attend three inaugural balls - the 'Commander in Chief Ball,' the 'Liberty Inaugural Ball' and the 'Starlight Ball'. He is expected to speak at all three events.
How will Donald Trump's second inauguration be different to 2016?
Trump's second inauguration is expected to be a much different affair than the last time America got a new president, with the Republican being the first president-elect to invite foreign leaders to his inauguration.
Former First Lady Michelle Obama will also be noticeably absent from the ceremony, despite her husband former President Barack Obama having said he will attend.
Michelle attended Trump's first inauguration and was present for President Joe Biden's inauguration in 2021.
The President-elect has also upped the antics this year with even bigger stars set to perform during the ceremony.
American Idol winner Carried Underwood will sing America the Beautiful, while opera star Christopher Macchio has been tapped to perform the national anthem.
While he had several big names perform at his welcome celebration in 2017 - including Toby Keith, 3 Doors Down and Lee Greenwood, who will perform at the inauguration again this year - the actual ceremony lacked star power.
The biggest name was Jackie Evancho, then 16, who sang the The Star-Spangled Banner. The singer placed second on America's Got Talent in 2010.
Trump will also have his new found tech billionaire buddies in the audience, front and centre, seated alongside his cabinet nominees.
Carrie Underwood has been tapped to perform America the Beautiful during Trump's official swearing-in ceremony
Trump favorite the Village People, whose hit YMCA became a MAGA anthem along the campaign trail, are teed up to perform at two inaugural events
Pictured: President-elect Donald Trump greets Elon Musk as he arrives to attend a viewing of the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket on November 19
Unlike eight years ago, security will be heightened at Trump's inauguration - but despite the increased police presence, there is expected to be a much larger crowd than when the President-elect took his first oath of office.
Trump, speaking after his 2017 inauguration, said the crowd looked like 'a million and a half people', but photographs showed the numbers were nowhere near that.
He was reportedly unhappy with images published by media outlets suggesting his inauguration crowd in Washington's National Mall was smaller than the one that had gathered for Obama's swearing-in ceremony in 2009.
Who is attending, who is not and who has snubbed Donald Trump?
Michelle Obama will skip Trump's inauguration, even though her husband Barack Obama will be in attendance, along with former presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush.
Laura Bush and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will join their husbands for the January 20 swearing-in ceremony at the Capitol.
No explanation was given for why Michelle is skipping Trump's inauguration - which marks the second time in two weeks that the former First Lady will not be in attendance at a gathering of former US leaders and their spouses.
She was the only spouse absent from the state funeral for former President Jimmy Carter on January 9. Her husband and Trump were seated next to each other and chatted and laughed like old friends despite the history of political animosity between the Democratic former president and the returning Republican.
Michelle was 'still in Hawaii on an extended holiday vacation' during the funeral service, CNN reported at the time that, citing her advisers who credited her absence to a 'scheduling conflict'.
All three former presidents and their wives attended Trump's first inauguration in 2017, including Hillary Clinton after she lost the 2016 presidential election to Trump. Carter also attended.
Trump has also broken with precedent and invited several world leaders to his inauguration ceremony. Historically, foreign leaders have not attended the inaugural due to security concerns and have sent diplomats in their stead.
Michelle Obama will skip Trump's inauguration, even though her husband Barack Obama will be in attendance. She is pictured with Barack, Trump and Melania at the 2017 inauguration
Michelle was the only spouse absent from the state funeral for former President Jimmy Carter on January 9. Her husband and Trump were seated next to each other and chatted and laughed like old friends despite the history of political animosity between the Democratic former president and the returning Republican
But Argentina's president, Javier Milei, a strong Trump supporter, has said he will attend, according to reports. Another Trump backer, Hungary's Viktor Orban, has said he is considering coming. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has also said she hopes to attend the inauguration.
Chinese President Xi Jinping is not attending, despite having received an invitation, but is sending an envoy.
Trump refused to invite British Prime Minister Keir Starmer in a move that MAGA ally Elon Musk has suggested stems from Labour Party 'interference' in the US election.
The Trump campaign filed a complaint with the Federal Election Commission over alleged 'blatant foreign interference' after it emerged that upwards of 100 Labour staffers campaigned in America on behalf of Kamala Harris.
Musk, responding to a tweet questioning why Starmer had not been invited when 12 other world leaders had, wrote on his platform X: 'He sent operatives to America to undermine the US election!'
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is also among the heads of state who won't be in attendance, with an senior aide telling the Times of Israel that the PM had not formally received an invitation.
But even if he had received an invitation, it is unlikely that Netanyahu would have made the trek to Washington, especially after Trump shared a video to his Truth Social platform that was highly critical of the PM and insinuated that he was a killer.
Netanyahu's attendance would have also been complicated by the arrest warrant issued by the International Criminal Court in November over alleged war crimes in Gaza.
Although the US has said it would not execute the warrant, the PM could still be at risk of arrest while travelling if he had to make an emergency diversion during travel.
Nigel Farage will be Donald Trump's inauguration guest of honour
Reform UK leader and longtime Trump ally Nigel Farage will be attending the inauguration on Monday, despite his apparent fallout with Musk.
The Brexiteer supported Trump during his presidential campaigns in 2016 and endorsed him again both in the 2020 and 2024 election cycle.
'I've been a friend of Donald Trump's for a decade, I've been very supportive of him, he's been very supportive of me,' Farage told LBC. 'I can't see that changing for a moment.'
Farage, who attended Trump's first inauguration eight years ago, will be in the US for four to five days around the ceremony.
He is expected to speak with Musk during the visit, according to reports, which comes amid a public war of words between the two.
Reform UK leader and longtime Trump ally Nigel Farage will be attending the inauguration on Monday, despite his apparent fallout with Elon Musk. Farage and Reform Party treasurer Nick Candy are pictured with Musk at Mar-A-Lago in December 2024
The pair met last month at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate amid rumors that Musk was poised to plough as much as $100million into Reform.
But after a week in which Musk used his social media platform X to attack major UK political figures on the left over sex abuse gangs, he astonished right-wing politics by gunning for Farage.
'The Reform Party needs a new leader. Farage doesn't have what it takes,' Musk wrote. He did not clarify why he had changed his mind, but the volte face came just a day after Farage distanced Reform from Musk's support for Tommy Robinson, the jailed co-founder of the far-right English Defence League.
Farage's reply suggested he believed this was the reason, as he said: 'My view remains that Tommy Robinson is not right for Reform and I never sell out my principles.'
And in a later tweet Musk appeared to throw his support behind Rupert Lowe, the political novice Reform MP for Great Yarmouth and former chairman of Southampton Football Club.
Donald Trump's billionaire 'tech bros' Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg and Jeff Bezos will join party after bankrolling the fun
Trump's billionaire friends Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg are all set to attend his inauguration on Monday.
NBC news reported the trio are expected to have a prominent spot at the ceremony, citing an an unnamed official source involved in planning the event for January 20.
According to the source, the tech moguls' will be seated together on the platform with other notable guests, including Trump's cabinet nominees.
Musk became Trump's most vocal fan and one of his biggest financial backers during the 2024 election, spending at least $119million mobilizing Trump's supporters. His social media platform X become an unofficial Republican Party campaign tool.
President Donald Trump with Mark Zuckerberg in the White House in September 2019. The Meta CEO, along with Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos, are all set to attend Trump's inauguration
Former presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush will attend the January 20 swearing-in ceremony at the Capitol with their wives. Bill and Hillary Clinton during the state funeral for former President Jimmy Carter on January 9
His influence on Trump also became so stark that the President-elect tapped him to lead an outside task force called the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, which focuses on cutting federal spending and regulations to improve government efficiency.
Bezos and Zuckerberg will also be in attendance - which is unsurprisingly considering their hefty contributions to the festivities.
There will be a series of inaugural galas held in locations throughout Washington on January 20, some of which Trump may attend. The official events are financed by Trump's inauguration committee, which is chaired by longtime Trump allies Steve Witkoff, a real estate developer, and Kelly Loeffler, a former US senator.
Amazon.com, led by founder Bezos, and Meta Platforms, helmed by Zuckerberg, have said they will donate $1million each to the committee - as have Apple CEO Tim Cook and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. Uber and its CEO Dara Khosrowshahi have each donated $1million to the fund.
Trump's committee will be responsible for covering the costs of everything but the swearing-in ceremony at the Capitol, which is borne by taxpayers.
Trump raised a record $106.7million for his 2017 inauguration festivities.
It's the hottest ticket in town but will Trump still complain about the crowd?
Officials have started distributing more than 220,000 free Inauguration ceremony tickets to the public on January 13. The tickets were sent to members of Congress who are then responsible for handing them out to constituents who applied for them.
Ticket demand has reportedly surpassed availability, the Washington Post reported, citing how the office of Congresswoman Eleanor Holmes Norton (D-DC) received 1,264 requests - despite only having 198 tickets to dish out.
Thousands of spectators without tickets are also expected to fill the National Mall - which will be open to the public - and watch the ceremony on large video screens.
Eight years ago, Trump made a big deal about his inaugural crowd size, despite it being visibly smaller than that of President Barack Obama when the Democrat was sworn-in in 2009.
Obama was the country's first black and biracial president in history.
It's likely more people will come to Trump's inauguration than they did in 2017 (left). Trump made a big deal about his inaugural crowd size, forcing press secretary Sean Spicer to say he had bigger numbers than President Barack Obama in 2009 (right)
Trump memorably had his new press secretary, Sean Spicer, chastise the press one day after the swearing-in for pointing out Trump's smaller crowd.
Spicer claimed 'this was the largest audience to ever witness the inauguration - period - both in person and around the globe.'
It's likely Trump's crowd will be larger this year from eight years ago, simply because he's grown his support. This time around the Republican won the popular vote - the first GOP nominee to do so in 20 years.
He's also hosting an indoor rally for the MAGA faithful a day before.
Heightened security as 8,000 extra troops will be deployed on to the streets of DC
The last time a president was inaugurated, there was a global pandemic and a violent siege at the very spot at the US Capitol where the ceremony takes place.
Authorities are preparing for potential demonstrations this time around but is not anticipating any major problems.
That said, federal law enforcement is operating at a heightened threat environment, especially following the two assassination attempts on Trump's life last year and the New Year's terror attack in New Orleans.
Officials will install 30 miles of anti-scale fencing around the Capitol - a stark reminder of the January 6, 2021 siege.
Almost 25,000 officers and nearly 8,000 soldiers expected to descend on the capital on Monday, DC police officials have confirmed.
Unlike demonstrations or other major events in the District of Columbia, traditional red tape is cleared for national special security events, allowing federal, city and state law enforcement agencies to work together.
The District of Columbia National Guard will deploy roughly 7,800 soldiers for perimeter security, which includes traffic control and patrolling Metro stations.
Thousands of federal agents, police and other law enforcement will be on hand.
Security will be heightened at Trump's inauguration, with 30 miles of anti-scale fencing having been installed around the Capitol (pictured January 14, 2025)
Musician Petty Officer 1st Class Nate Buttram stand in for Vice President-elect Sen. JD Vance, Gunnery Sergeant Cecilia Kozlowski stands in for Melania Trump and Master Sergeant Matthew Nall stands in for President-elect Donald Trump during rehearsals for inauguration on the West Front of the Capitol on January 12, 2025
The Secret Service is in charge of running security for national special security events, and planning for the inauguration began as soon as the last one ended.
In preparation for the inauguration, the FBI has set up command posts at the Washington field office and FBI headquarters to act as 'central hubs for employees to gather intelligence, assess potential threats, coordinate investigations, and surge resources as needed,' the bureau said in a statement.
Analysts at the Washington field office will be working before and during the inauguration to assess and share intelligence with other law enforcement, and the FBI will have 'personnel and other assets at the ready to respond immediately to address any safety concerns or threats that arise'.
Authorities have also increased CCTV around the city and are using drones to assist with surveillance.
Which high profile performers are lined up to perform at Donald Trump's inauguration?
Carrie Underwood has been tapped to perform America the Beautiful during Donald Trump's official swearing-in ceremony.
'I love our country and am honored to have been asked to sing at the Inauguration and to be a small part of this historic event,' Underwood said in a statement Monday.
'I am humbled to answer the call at a time when we must all come together in the spirit of unity and looking to the future.'
Tenor Christopher Macchio will perform the Star-Spangled Banner, America's national anthem.
American disco group the Village People - the creators of Trump rally staples YMCA and Macho Man - is set to perform at one of Trump's inaugural balls and a rally he's holding in Washington the day before he's sworn in. Trump is seen dancing to YMCA at rally last October
Tenor Christopher Macchio will perform the Star-Spangled Banner, America's national anthem, during the ceremony. He is pictured performing at the White House after Trump delivered his acceptance speech on the final night of the 2020 Republican National Convention
Macchio also performed at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee in July and during Trump's second Butler, Pennsylvania rally in October - marking his return to the locale where he an attempt was made on his life in July.
American disco group the Village People - the creators of Trump rally staples YMCA and Macho Man - is set to perform at one of Trump's inaugural balls and a rally he's holding in Washington the day before he's sworn in.
'We know this won't make some of you happy to hear however we believe that music is to be performed without regard to politics,' the band said in a post on its Facebook page Monday.
'Our song YMCA is a global anthem that hopefully helps bring the country together after a tumultuous and divided campaign where our preferred candidate lost.
'Therefore, we believe it's now time to bring the country together with music which is why VILLAGE PEOPLE will be performing at various events as part of the 2025 Inauguration of Donald J. Trump.'
Controversial justices swearing in America's new leaders
Donald Trump will take the oath of office, likely administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts.
Justice Roberts was embroiled in scandal last year after a leaked memo revealed that he strong-armed his fellow Supreme Court judges into allowing him the key role in cases involving Donald Trump.
The conservative judge took the lead in the March 2024 case on whether states could remove the former president from their ballots over his role in the January 6 attack on the Capitol.
Trump will take the oath of office, likely administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts, at 5pm GMT on Monday in front of the US Capitol
Vice President-elect JD Vance is being sworn in by Chief Justice Brett Kavanaugh
He also took charge of the case concerning prosecution of the January 6 rioters himself from Justice Samuel Alito after his fellow conservative was embroiled in a row about his wife flying the Stars and Stripes upside down from their home.
Vice President-elect JD Vance is also being sworn in by a SCOTUS justice battling scandal.
Chief Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who was pilloried for an unfounded rape accusation before becoming a Supreme Court Justice, will swear Vance into office.
Kavanaugh was appointed to the Supreme Court by Trump in 2018. Both he and Vance are alumnus of Yale Law School.
Bishop, Rabbi, Imam and televangelist will all speak at the ceremony
A Catholic Bishop, a Rabbi, a MAGA televangelist and a controversial Imam will actually all deliver remarks at Donald Trump's inauguration.
A leaked copy of the ceremony program, obtained by the Daily Beast, revealed that Cardinal Timothy Michael Dolan, the archbishop of New York, will deliver the invocation alongside Franklin Graham, son of the famous evangelist Billy Graham.
Cardinal Dolan runs Saint Patrick's Cathedral in New York City, located just blocks from Trump Tower.
A leaked copy of the ceremony program, obtained by the Daily Beast, revealed that Cardinal Timothy Michael Dolan, the archbishop of New York, will deliver the invocation alongside Franklin Graham (pictured)
Rabbi Ari Berman, president of Yeshiva University, and Imam Husham Al-Husainy - the leader of an Islamic center in Michigan that refused to declare Hezbollah a terrorist organization - will deliver the benediction at the end of the service.
Reverend Father Frank Mann of Brooklyn and Senior Pastor Lorenzo Sewell of Detroit will also speak during the benediction.
Sewell, according to his church's website, was 'heavily involved in drugs and drug dealing, ultimately becoming a gang leader' before he became a pastor. He also reportedly grew up in an abusive home.
Joe and Jill Biden will hand back keys to the White House to Donald and Melania Trump
Joe and Jill Biden will greet incoming President and First Lady at the White House on Monday morning, ahead of the ceremony.
Eight years ago when Donald Trump was sworn-in, he and first lady Melania Trump started their day at church - at the historic yellow St. John's Episcopal just outside the White House.
They were then met with a cringeworthy greeting on the White House's North Portico by President Barack Obama and first lady Michelle Obama.
The Obamas each greeted Melania, who presented them with a Tiffany blue box wrapped in a white bow, with a kiss, taking her gently in their arms.
'So nice to see you. How are you?' Obama asked her. As they did so, Trump saluted two marines guarding the North Portico.
Fumbling with the box Melania had given her, Michelle gave the gift to her husband, who passed the box off the gift to an aide nearby.
The group posed for a portrait before heading inside for a tea and coffee reception that was also attended by Joe Biden and his wife Jill, and Mike Pence and his wife Karen.
President Barack Obama (right) and first lady Michelle Obama (left) hosted Melania and Donald Trump (center) to the White House on inauguration morning after the Trump attended a church service across the street at the historic yellow St. John's Episcopal church
Four years ago the Trumps departed from the White House's South Lawn ahead of Biden's swearing-in ceremony and the outgoing president made remarks at Joint Base Andrews before heading to his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida. He and Melania are pictured exiting Air Force One at the Palm Beach Airport on the way to Mar-a-Lago Club on January 20, 2020
Typically the former president and first lady fly off in a Marine One-type helicopter from the east side of the US Capitol after the swearing-in occurs.
A Marine captain from Marine Barracks will escort Melania to the ceremony. The First Lady was also escorted by a Marine in 2017. She and Trump are known to be big fans of the US Marine Corps.
After a lunch with congressional leaders at the US Capitol, Trump will proceed down Pennsylvania Avenue in a motorcade to the White House, accompanied by a procession of military regiments, school marching bands, floats and citizens' groups.
The new president and his guests will then observe the rest of the parade from a reviewing stand.
From there they headed to the US Capitol ahead of the noon swearing-in.
It's tradition for the departing president to leave a letter for the incoming president on the Resolute Desk. Despite Trump breaking tradition by being one of four presidents to skip a successor's inauguration - the others were John Adams, John Quincy Adams and Andrew Johnson - he did leave a 'shockingly gracious' letter behind for the Democrat, according to Biden biographer Chris Whipple.
Four years ago the Trumps departed from the White House's South Lawn ahead of Biden's swearing-in ceremony and the outgoing president made remarks at Joint Base Andrews before heading to his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.
How to watch Donald Trump's inauguration
Thousands of people will gather on the National Mall in DC to watch the inauguration ceremony, but there are plenty of alternatives for those who cannot attend in-person.
The White House will livestream the inauguration online.
BBC One, Sky News, ITV News and Channel 4 will also be covering the event.
All major US broadcast networks will carry the inauguration including NBC, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, CNN, CSPAN, Fox News, and PBS.
Donald Trump's four-day inauguration celebration
The inauguration celebrations kick off on Saturday with a president's reception and fireworks display will take place at Trump National Golf Club in Virginia.
There will also be a Cabinet reception and vice president's dinner.
On Sunday - the eve of the inauguration - Donald Trump is set to hold a campaign-style Make America Great Again Victory Rally at an arena in downtown Washington.
Such an event likely will help spur thousands of Trump's supporters to pack the city for the inaugural festivities. It would be Trump's first rally in the District of Columbia since Jan. 6, 2021, when his supporters stormed the US Capitol in a failed bid to delay certification of the 2020 election.
Earlier in the day, there will be a wreath laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in Arlington National Cemetery. Trump will also attend a candlelight dinner.
Monday's schedule is jam-packed with official ceremonies, meet-and-greets and glamours balls.
Inaugural activities will conclude on Tuesday morning with a National Prayer Service and Trump's focus will shift to legislation and fulfilling campaign promises.
Donald Trump is expected to pass a 'blizzard of executive orders' on his first day in office. He is pictured in May 2020 before signing an executive order related to regulating social media
What happens after the inauguration?
Donald Trump is expected to pass a 'blizzard of executive orders on the economy, as well as on the border' on his first day in office, Republican US Senator John Barrasso, a Trump ally, told CBS.
Two sources familiar with the planning said Trump is preparing a flood of executive orders and directives that could total more than a 100 for day one and beyond in what is known internally as a 'shock and awe' effort by Trump.
He is expected to sign orders that give immigration officers more latitude to arrest migrants with no criminal records, send more troops to the US-Mexico border and restart construction of the border wall.
The orders will include a drive to increase energy production and follow through on Trump's oft-stated campaign vow to 'drill, baby, drill'.
Trump also is likely to issue the first wave of pardons for defendants convicted by the federal government for their participation in the Jan. 6, 2021, siege of the Capitol.
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С интересом и понятными ожиданиями, Dimitriy.
NATO fighter jets scrambled as Putin kamikaze drones hit port by Romanian border
NATO warplanes were scrambled today after a suspected Russian drone crashed following an encroachment of Romanian airspace.
Footage showed a dramatic explosion believed to be at a port on the Ukrainian side of the River Danube, which forms the frontier with Romania.
But reports in Bucharest said the same wave of attacks that a Putin drone had crashed near Tulcea county on the Romanian side of the border.
The Russian incursion triggered the response by NATO fighters, and an air raid warning to residents close to the Danube in Romania.
Residents were told to take shelter in safe areas for 90 minutes during an alert warning that objects could still be falling from the sky.
Moment a Russian drone is seen exploding at a Ukrainian port on the River Danube as another Putin UAV is reported to have hit NATO territory in Romania triggering the scrambling of Western warplanes
File photo. Romanian air force F-16 fighter planes fly above the Baza 86 military air base, outside Fetesti, Romania, Monday, Nov. 13, 2023
The Romanian defence ministry said: 'At 1:35 a.m., two F-16 aircraft of the Romanian Air Force, part of the Air Police Combat Service, took off from the 86th Air Base in Borcea to monitor the air situation.
'The aircraft returned to base around 3:48 a.m.'
NATO structures were kept fully abreast of the suspected illegal incursion by Russia, said Romanian officials.
'The Ministry of National Defence sends a firm message of condemnation of these attacks carried out by the Russian Federation against Ukrainian civilian objects and infrastructure elements, which are unjustified and in serious contradiction with the norms of international law,' said a Romanian statement.
Several Russian drones were said to have been launched from Crimea, hitting the port of Chilia Nouă, near the town of Chilia Veche.
Ukraine shot down some of the Russian drones before they hit the Romanian port, Antena 3 reports.
Drone fragments and air space breaches have occurred regularly over the past year and a half as Russia has attacked Ukraine's Danube river port infrastructure.
Earlier this week, NATO warplanes were scrambled in Poland amid a wave of Russian missile and drone strikes in western Ukraine close to the alliance's eastern flank.
Huge Tu-22 and Tu-95 strategic bombers had been bombing Ukraine close to the border with Poland before NATO jets took off.
File photo. A Romanian Air Force F-16 military fighter jet escorts a C-27J Spartan aircraft during an Air Policing exercise above eastern Romania, Wednesday, March 6, 2024
The onslaught was seen as instant revenge for Tuesday's Ukrainian aerial strikes on Russia, the heaviest of the almost three year war.
In particular, Putin was rattled by Ukraine's use of British Storm Shadow and American ATACMS missiles which hit key defence facilities including a chemical plant in Bryansk region.
NATO forces went on full alert in Poland with warplanes scrambled, the country's operational command headquarters said.
A Scramble is 'triggered when an aircraft is flying an invalid or incorrect flight plan; fails to or loses communication with the relevant air traffic control authority; or fails to communicate with the air traffic control authorities using the transponder', according to NATO.
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Furious Russia condemns Keir Starmer's 100-year security pact with Ukraine and calls the idea of British military bases in the country 'worrying'
A furious Kremlin has described the idea of British military bases in Ukraine as 'worrying' and said it will study the details of the new 100-year security pledge signed between the UK and Ukraine.
British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said at a press conference yesterday with the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky that the UK will stand shoulder to shoulder with Ukraine 'for a hundred years, long after this terrible war is over'.
The 'historic' 100-year partnership includes £3bn a year in funding, as well as the provision of air defence systems and training for Ukrainian soldiers.
The British PM met Zelensky in Kyiv to sign the agreement only days before Donald Trump enters the White House - in a move that has provoked fury among the Russian leadership.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called the idea of British military bases in Ukraine 'worrying' and said that Moscow views negatively the prospect of British cooperation with Ukraine in the Sea of Azov - calling it Russia's 'internal sea'.
Peskov said: 'Given that Britain is a NATO country, the advancement of its military infrastructure towards our borders is certainly a rather worrying element. In any case, it will be necessary to further analyse what will happen.
At Thursday's talks in Kyiv, Zelenskiy said he had spoken to Starmer about Kyiv's desire for Western peacekeeping troops to be deployed in Ukraine if the war with Russia ended.
Sir Keir pledged on Thursday to work with Ukraine and allies to offer Kyiv security guarantees if a ceasefire is negotiated with Russia, and offered additional support through a 100-year partnership deal.
At a press conference with Volodymyr Zelensky yesterday, the PM said the countries would be standing shoulder to shoulder 'for a hundred years, long after this terrible war is over'
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called the idea of British military bases in Ukraine 'a rathe worrying element'
A Russian drone is seen exploding at a Ukrainian port on the River Danube as another Putin UAV is reported to have hit NATO territory in Romania
Speaking to broadcasters in Kyiv, he said the 100 Year Partnership with Ukraine was a 'real statement of our intent for the long term'.
He said Vladimir Putin's war had been a failure, and 'one of the consequences of this conflict has been to draw Nato more strongly together'.
'It's bigger and stronger than it has been, and we must stand behind Ukraine for as long as it takes.
'But when we say Ukraine must be in the strongest possible position, that can't be just words. And that's why I've had such intense discussions with President Zelensky over the months that I've been Prime Minister and will again here in Ukraine.'
Sir Keir is due to announce another £40million for Ukraine's post-war economic recovery, on top of the £12.8billion in military and civilian aid offered since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022.
Explosions and sirens were heard in the Ukrainian capital as Sir Keir made his first trip since taking charge of Downing Street.
Sir Keir pointed to the attacks as evidence of Russia's determination to prolong the conflict.
'Let's be clear, we all want this war to end, no-one wants that more than Ukrainians, but right now Putin shows no sign of wanting peace,' he said.
'The attacks here today are a reminder of the daily attacks and the resolve of the Ukrainian people in the face of it.'
Sir Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron have reportedly held talks about deploying British and French soldiers to Ukraine as part of a potential peacekeeping mission.
The proposal, which hinges on a peace deal to end the ongoing war, is said to be championed by Mr Macron, who has already discussed the idea with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk.
Neither Downing Street nor the Élysée Palace denied that the possibility of such a deployment was raised during Sir Keir's meeting with Mr Macron at Chequers last week.
While details of their discussions remain under wraps, UK government sources have suggested that Sir Keir is not fully committed to the idea at this stage.
A senior Whitehall source told The Telegraph: 'There are challenges over what we could support, what we would want to support, and the broader question about the threat to troops and whether it would be seen as escalatory.'
Yet, Starmer today signed a 100-year partnership between the UK and Ukraine to help rebuild the war-torn county with the aid of British firms and private sector loans, The Sun reports.
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Ex-Army chief warns British troops would 'struggle' to act as post-war peacekeepers in Ukraine because the military is now too small
UK soldiers would 'struggle' to play a major role as peacekeepers in postwar Ukraine because the British Army is now too small, its former commander has warned.
General Sir Richard Dannatt, the former chief of the general staff, said money and resources would need to be put into boosting the size of the UK's land forces if it is to play a role in Eastern Europe.
Sir Keir Starmer yesterday used his first visit to Kyiv to vow that the UK would 'play our part' in guaranteeing security if a deal is done to end the fighting.
The visit comes just days before Donald Trump enters the White House, potentially signalling a shift in US support for war effort in favour of a push for a peace deal.
But Sir Richard told the i Paper: 'I don't think the size of our Army is large enough to do that with everything else that it's doing currently. I think we would struggle.
'We could do it, but then we would have to certainly put more resources into the Army, and set about growing the size of the Army.
'It's a major issue that relates directly to the future size of the British Army. You start to run out of troops quite quickly.'
As of October, the Army's official full-time trained strength was 71,347. Years of cuts and problems with recruitment mean it is at its lowest size since the Napoleonic war.
General Sir Richard Dannatt, the former chief of the general staff, said money and resources would need to be put into boosting the size of the UK's land forces if it is to play a role in Eastern Europe.
Sir Keir Starmer yesterday used his first visit to Kyiv to vow that the UK would 'play our part' in guaranteeing security if a deal is done to end the fighting.
As of October, the Army's official full-time trained strength was 71,347. Years of cuts and problems with recruitment mean it is at its lowest size since the Napoleonic war.
Col Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, who served in Iraq and Afghanistan, added: 'We have such a small Army, we've taken so much risk with defence, that if we did this, we would be able to do nothing else.
'At the worst case, it's the whole of the British military being involved. The least worst case, it's providing some command and control of a brigade of tanks and infantry.'
But Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy today insisted the UK 'takes seriously our obligations', telling ITV News: 'Our Defence Secretary is working hard to make sure, after inheriting the smallest armed forces for hundreds of years, that we are building back up our defence capability, in order to play our full part.'
The UK has also cemented ties with Ukraine with a new 100-year partnership deal, which will set out co-operation between the countries in an agreement that will stretch into the next century.
The agreement will bolster military collaboration on maritime security through a new framework covering the Baltic Sea, Black Sea and Azov Sea to deter Russian aggression.
The partnership – which will take shape through a treaty and a political declaration – will be laid in Parliament in the coming weeks, and will involve co-operation in areas such as healthcare, agricultural technology and the space industry.
Downing Street set out details of a £4.5 billion military aid package for Ukraine, including air defence systems, drones and equipment support.
The UK has committed £3 billion a year for as long as Ukraine needs it, and that will be supplemented with the first £1.5 billion from a £2.26 billion loan, which will be repaid with the profits from frozen Russian assets.
The UK-designed and rapidly developed Gravehawk system, funded jointly with Denmark, will be delivered this year.
The system is able to retrofit air-to-air missiles for ground-based air defence, meaning it can use existing Ukrainian missiles.
Ukrainian officer cadets will also be trained at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst.
A £61 million contract will see BAE Systems work with Sheffield Forgemasters to produce artillery barrels for the first time in almost two decades.
I, Fraudius! Roman coin conmen discovered nearly 1,700 years after he committed crime - which was once punishable by crucifixion
Archaeologists have uncovered a crime nearly 1,700 years after it was committed.
A dig has revealed a number of moulds which would have been used to create fake Roman coins – an offence that was punishable by crucifixion.
During a time of crisis in the Western Roman Empire of the 260s, hyper-inflation meant people had to resort to forging coins to keep up with the rising costs.
Official coins were minted rather than moulded.
So moulds, particularly intact ones like the ones found in Castleford, West Yorkshire, are extraordinarily rare.
But researchers found more than 100 pieces in one pit.
This means the culprit likely buried the evidence, successfully concealing the crime for well over a millennium.
A dig has revealed a number of moulds which would have been used to create fake Roman coins – an offence that was punishable by crucifixion
The find was revealed on the BBC archaeology series Digging for Britain
The find was revealed on the BBC archaeology series Digging for Britain.
David Williams, who led the dig, said: ‘There were sanctioned mints and we’re not near one at all.
‘It’s a bit of a mystery really – really unexpected.’
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С интересом и понятными ожиданиями, Dimitriy.
Мы уже разбирали выступление будущего госсекретаря США Марко Рубио перед Сенатом по теме Украины. Отмечали, что в нем делался акцент на противостоянии Китаю, который по словам Рубио, «обманом присвоил себе статус сверхдержавы за нас счет».
Однако не менее интересны его заявления, которые касаются в целом глобального мироустройства. С точки зрения американской повестки их можно назвать революционными.
Рубио сделал упор на то, что нынешний мировой порядок играет против интересов США.
По мнению Рубио, после окончания холодной войны США и Запад в целом впали в "опасное заблуждение о конце истории", при котором "все народы земли станут членами демократического сообщества под руководством Запада".
"Что внешняя политика, которая служила национальным интересам, теперь может быть заменена той, которая служила "либеральному мировому порядку". И что все человечество теперь обречено отказаться от национальной идентичности, и мы станем "единой человеческой семьей". Это была не просто фантазия. Это было опасное заблуждение", - заявил Рубио.
По его словам, из-за "религиозной приверженности" идее свободной мировой торговли в США сократился средний и рабочий класс, а индустрия попала в кризис, став зависимой от "противников и соперников" (речь идет, очевидно, о деиндустриализации Запада из-за переноса производств в незападные страны, включая Китай).
Поэтому, по его мнению, сложившийся мировой порядок - "это оружие, которое используется против нас".
Мировой порядок, который разгромно критикует Рубио, это тот самый «порядок основанный на правилах», защиту которого объявляла своей главной целью уходящая администрация Байдена, создавая коалицию против вторжения РФ в Украину. И ключевое обвинение, которое звучало из уст американских руководителей в адрес Путина – то, что его действия разрушают «порядок основанный на правилах».
И вот теперь, будущий глава американской дипломатии заявляет, что этот порядок США вреден. А значит Америка его, по идее, не защищать должна, а разрушать. И впредь действовать исходя из своих национальных интересов, а не «религиозной приверженности либеральному мировому порядку».
По сути, Рубио анонсировал самый радикальный поворот в американской политике начиная с 1917 года, когда Америка отказалась от политики изоляционизма и вмешалась в европейские дела, став участником Первой мировой войны. Причем озвучивает этот поворот, не радикальный трампист вроде Бэннона, а системный республиканец Рубио, который вскоре возглавит Госдеп.
Поворот этот, однако, нельзя назвать неожиданным.
Мы уже неоднократно писали, что глобализация, которую многие в незападных странах проклинали, как «западный неоколониальный проект», уже давно перестала быть выгодной Западу.
Да, изначально она поддерживалась и продвигалась западными правительствами, которые видели в глобализации и системе открытых рынков возможность осуществления «мягкого» контроля над миром, опираясь на свое абсолютное экономическое, технологическое и информационно-культурное преобладание.
Однако события пошли другим путем.
Незападные страны получили доступ к западным рынкам. В виду меньших налогов и зарплат их товары стали более конкурентоспособными. Открытость рынков капитала позволила им получить огромные инвестиции с Запада. Транснациональные компании массово начали переносить туда производство, а в странах Запада его закрывать.
В результате, глобализация дала шанс незападным странам на опережающее (в сравнение с Западом) развитие. Чем многие и воспользовались.
Правда, долгое время это не считалось проблемой, так как получила популярность теория о том, что западные страны перешли на высшую стадию развития – «постиндустральную». Когда они занимаются технологиями, идеями и творчеством, а на заводах пашут люди из стран третьего мира, подобно морлокам из «Машины времени» Герберта Уэллса.
Трещать по швам эта теория начала примерно с кризиса 2008 года, который выявил огромные экономические диспропорции на Западе. США и ЕС пытались «лечить» проблемы за счет массированной эмиссии долларов и евро. А Китай и другие незападные страны продолжали укреплять свою промышленную и технологическую мощь.
У Запада все ещё оставались серьезные рычаги влияния – контроль над мировой финансовой инфраструктурой и двумя основными валютами международных расчетов, технологическое лидерство по многим направлениям. Однако, при инерционном сценарии, рано или поздно Запад потерял бы и эти преимущества.
Победа Трампа в 2016 году и его политика на посту президента стало проявлением опасений части западных элит относительно подобного развития событий и их стремления глобализацию свернуть. Однако, у нее оказалась большая инерция. Тем более, что в западных странах возник достаточно влиятельный круг лиц, которые от глобализации получал выгоду. А все проблемы, как и прежде, пытались решить за счет эмиссии, которая резко ускорилась во время пандемии. Из которой Запад вышел ослабленный, а Китай – еще более сильным в экономическом отношении.
По итогу, Трамп курс повернуть не смог и проиграл выборы.
Но проблемы от этого никуда не делись. А лишь усугубились. Особенно после начала войны в Украине, которая показала ограниченность возможностей Запада в производстве оружия из-за деиндустриализации последних десятилетий. Увеличение военных расходов создало дополнительные проблемы, приведя к эмиссии доллара и евро и к росту госдолга. В Европе это наложилось еще и на проблемы с ростом цен на энергоносители после резкого сокращения поставок из РФ.
К концу 2024 года Запад подошел с целым ворохом проблем и с непонятными перспективами по войне в Украине.
В такой обстановке и победил на выборах Трамп, который и лично, и устами своих соратников дал понять, что США намерены свернуть глобализацию и восстановить американское доминирование в мировой экономике и в торговле за счет жесткого давления на конкурентов. А также за счет присоединения новых территорий, богатых полезными ископаемыми как Гренландия или Канада.
Таким образом, страна, которая стояла у истоков процессов глобализации и была их главным двигателем, теперь может стать тараном, который ее уничтожит во имя своих экономических и политических интересов, заодно и «сбросив с себя оковы» международного права.
Пока совершенно непонятно во что это выльется на практике. Как будут действовать США? Начнут ли они торговые войны со своими основными конкурентами (включая Китай и ЕС), попытаются ли «расширить рынки сбыта» военной силой, как это практиковалось во времена колониальных империй (Трамп уже намекал на такую возможность), будут ли они договариваться о «разделе сфер влияния» с другими крупными странами или же наоборот, вступят с ними в жесткую конфронтацию, а мир разделится на враждующие и закрытые друг от друга экономические и военно-политические блоки, сохранится ли «глобальный Запад» как единое целое?
Все под вопросом. Тем более, что желания США это одно, а их реальные возможности - совсем другое.
Но для Украины, как минимум, один вывод очевиден – базис, на котором страна выстраивала свою позицию в ходе войны – защита «миропорядка основанного на правилах», судя по заявлениям Вашингтона, уходит в прошлое.
В Киеве это, вероятно, понимают. А потому все меньше говорят о международном праве и все больше о богатых залежах полезных ископаемых и о сильной армии, благодаря которой Украина может стать «фронтиром» западного мира.
Однако продолжение боевых действий превращает Украину для Запада не столько во фронтир, сколько в портал, через который мир может войти в ядерную войну, которую никто не хочет.
В наступающем неопределённом и бурном мире будущего любая страна, которая находится в состоянии войны, автоматически становится крайне опасным местом, где будут выяснять отношения друг с другом далекие и близкие державы. А потому воюющие страны в первую очередь должны быть заинтересованы в том, чтоб из этого состояния как можно скорее выйти.
20 января в должность президента США официально вступит Дональд Трамп. В ходе предвыборной кампании он сделал множество громких заявлений, вызвавших нервную реакцию среди европейских союзников Вашингтона. Так, он подчеркнул стремление закончить украинский конфликт посредством переговоров, а также сократить финансовую поддержку Киева. В Москве приветствуют готовность США к переговорам, если при этом будут учитываться российские интересы. Однако в ЕС по-прежнему доминируют воинственные настроения по украинскому вопросу. К тому же накануне инаугурации Трамп ошарашил западных союзников призывами к присоединению к США Гренландии и Канады, а также возвращению контроля над Панамским каналом. Что говорят эти заявления о будущей внешней политике администрации Трампа, оценил кандидат политических наук, профессор Юридического института РУДН им. П. Лумумбы Дмитрий Евстафьев.
Вызвавшие шок по всему «объединенному Западу» заявления Дональда Трампа о возможности приобретения Гренландии, присоединения к США Канады и статусе Панамского канала едва ли можно воспринимать только как эпатаж. Тем более, за заявлениями американского лидера начались вполне реальные политические процессы. Скорее, мы находимся в начальной – заявочной – фазе по формированию новой конфигурации Евроатлантики с учетом меняющихся геополитических и геоэкономических приоритетов США. А главное, с учетом превращения Европы из «младшего партнера» США в конкурентное пространство различных геополитических сил. Ситуация там осложнена утратой значительной части классического национального суверенитета и конкуренцией между различными центрами политической консолидации, наиболее очевидными из которых являются Брюссель и Париж.
Данные процессы назревали давно, и заявления Трампа, сделанные еще до вступления в должность, стоит расценивать как попытку превентивного размораживания ситуации с прицелом на формирование новой точки консолидации американской элиты и противостояния проевропейской группе в Вашингтоне. Противоборство вокруг нового геополитического состояния и формата управления Евроатлантикой не могут быть ограничены только данным условным геоэкономическим регионом.
Изменения в различной степени затронут и прилегающие регионы мира, прежде всего, Средиземноморье и Евразию. Создаются реальные условия для коренного изменения систем геоэкономической взаимозависимости, ранее по объективным и субъективным причинам завязанных на Европу. Но главное, – стабильность Евразии и устойчивость сложившихся в последние 20 лет систем власти перестает быть безусловным приоритетом для условного Запада. Это создает комплексную систему неэкономических вызовов, осложненную системной нестабильностью по периметру границ Евразии.
«Крепость Америка» как вынужденная геополитическая реальность
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Ничего принципиально нового в стратегии «нового атлантического фронтира», сформулированной Трампом, нет. Напротив, эта линия является продолжением традиционной американской геополитики. Речь идет о способности США «откатить» геополитическую ситуацию к 1940 году, реализовав стратегию политического контроля через прямое присутствие. Это означает фактическое признание, что стратегия «мягкой силы» в политических процессах, то есть, признания американского лидерства в глобальном мире и его институтов как некоей данности, не работает даже внутри «ядра глобализации», к которому, бесспорно, относилась Евроатлантика.
Конечно, дилемма, сформулированная в свое время Збигневым Бжезинским, а именно глобальное лидерство или мировое господство, в новой американской стратегии («Доктрине Трампа»), решается половинчато. С одной стороны, признается, что в актуальном своем состоянии США не способны к лидерству. Что уже выглядит некоей революцией – все президентство «коллективного Байдена» прошло под знаком уверенности в незыблемости «идеологического» лидерства. С другой, одновременно, признается, что без статуса безусловного «ядра» глобального мира США не могут рассматриваться в качестве жизнеспособной системы.
Допустимо предположение, что стратегию «нового атлантического фронтира» следует рассматривать как инструмент выигрыша США времени для упорядочивания союзнических отношений. Планируется и упорядочивание собственной системы внутреннего политического и экономического управления. Последняя, хотя и продемонстрировала относительно высокую степень устойчивости, выполнив главную функцию – «защиту от дурака», подверглась заметной внутренней эрозии.
Дополнительно в качестве стратегического фактора отметим серьезный раскол внутри американской элиты, приведший к включению части радикал-глобалистских кланов и групп в «партию хаоса», интересы которой в значительной степени противоречат американским. Это обостряет задачу внутренней консолидации в условиях высокой степени внешней защищенности на фоне осознаваемой поддерживающими Трампа кланами недостаточности ресурсов.
Почти нет сомнений, что, с учетом весьма яркого отклика на идеи по «атлантическому фронтиру», на следующем этапе Дональд Трамп с подачи своей команды может сформулировать и концепт «нового тихоокеанского фронтира», также предусматривающего определенные пространственные «коррективы», хотя и менее значительные. Но также лежащие в русле традиционной американской геополитики.
Есть и ситуативные факторы. Наиболее значимыми из них представляются три:
– Жесткая потребность формирования нового информационного фокуса после глубокого провала базовой идеи остановить конфликт на Украине на условиях США за 24 часа. Эта идея, вполне работавшая в период предвыборной кампании Трампа, была катастрофически дезавуирована в декабре 2024 года, причем не Россией, проявившей изрядную гибкость в этом вопросе, а «коллективным Зеленским» и его евроатлантическими кураторами. Теперь ее нужно чем-то замещать – американское общество жаждет сигналов о том, что «Америка становится снова великой».
– Необходимостью противостоять попыткам политических оппонентов республиканцев, вероятно, втягивающимся в стратегические отношения с «партией хаоса», превратить Европу и Канаду в свой политический плацдарм. Дополнительно Вашингтон показывает европейскому «крылу» либерал-атлантистов его слабость. Фактически, соглашаясь обсуждать требования Трампа, они признают неспособность «защитить» в широком смысле слова свое «опорное пространство».
– Демонстрация союзникам США допустимости территориального переформатирования интересующих их пространств в геоэкономических или геополитических целях, но при условии согласования этих действий с Вашингтоном. Принцип территориальной целостности больше не работает, но только там, где это согласуется с интересами США. Но здесь Трамп действует по принципу: «не можешь предотвратить – возглавь». В конечном счете, такие союзники США, как Реджеп Эрдоган или Биньямин Нетаньяху действуют вполне в данном ключе и без участия Вашингтона.
Обобщая: концепция «Крепости Америка» в американоцентричном мире является вынужденным стратегическим шагом, на который повлияли и определенные тактические обстоятельства. Но в нынешнем своем виде – даже без «тихоокеанского» добавления – «стратегия новых фронтиров» предопределяет постоянное нарастающее расхождение интересов различных американских элитных кланов и неизбежность столкновения Трампа с американскими евроатлантистами, которые, как показали последние годы, плотно срослись с европейскими.
Новая Евразия и «Крепость Америка»
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На первый взгляд переход США к стратегии «Крепость Америка» создает более благоприятные условия для реализации геополитического потенциала Евразии, поскольку, очевидно, что реальный фокус геополитических интересов США сдвигается в направлении Евроатлантического региона и Средиземноморья как «мягкого подбрюшья» Евроатлантики. Но подобный разворот американской политики происходит уже давно, что уже сказалось на степени вовлеченности Вашингтона в дела Евразии. Чего нельзя, например, сказать о странах ЕС и Лондоне.
Примером изменения политики стали события в Грузии, где представители общеевропейских структур продолжали работать на дестабилизацию ситуации уже после того, как США, причем при все еще радикал-глобалистской администрации Байдена, начали явственно сворачивать свою активность. И это, подчеркнем, происходило в знаковой для США стране, длительное время служившей «витриной» «глобального мира» в его соросовско-клинтонианской трактовке.
Приход к власти Трампа данные процессы только ускорит, но главное – сделает снижение приоритетности большинства стран постсоветской Евразии для США наглядным и политически грубым. Нарастающая автономность политики евроатлантистов, а главное, – выделение внутри евроатлантического сообщества «партии хаоса», прямо противостоящей США как возрождающейся пространственной империи, подобные риски только усугубляет.
Возможная мозаизация политики Запада будет иметь два вполне прагматических последствия для политики США в постсоветской Евразии:
● Как минимум частичное обнуление договоренностей о гарантиях безопасности аффилированного с политическими режимами бизнеса. Ранее этот механизм активно использовался либерал-глобалистами для формирования системы экономических привязок элит Евразии к США. Можно не сомневаться, что частично такого рода отношения будут засвечены в ходе расследования коррупционных связей семьи Байденов.
● Как естественное следствие из первого, – сворачивание ранее хеджировавшихся США на государственном уровне инвестиционных программ, в том числе в ТЭК. На первый план будут выходить высокорисковые «венчурные» инвестиции.
Отметим и то обстоятельство, что ключевым геополитическим конкурентом США обозначен Китай. Едва ли США в условиях формирования новых фронтиров будут проводить активную политику по противодействию Китаю в Евразии. Но логика развития конкуренции с США объективно заставит Пекин сконцентрироваться на обеспечении собственных ближайших интересов, связанных с выстраиванием собственного фронтира, но уже на ближних подступах. Это связано с временным откатом КНР с Ближнего и, частично, даже Среднего Востока.
Конечно, главным вызовом для Поднебесной станет безопасность побережья, но и попытки манипулирования ситуацией во «внутренних» районах страны за счет исламистских групп (потенциал влияния на них «партии хаоса» был вполне продемонстрирован событиями в Сирии) будет восприниматься как риск. Причем, риск для безопасности, а не только политического влияния.
В совокупности экономическое пространство Евразии может стать территорией системного геоэкономического рейдерства, особенно учитывая сложное сочетание ранее сложившихся в целом ряде регионов (например, в Центральной Азии) американских, европейских, турецких и китайских инвестиционно-экономических интересов. А также нарастающие противоречия внутри местных кланов. Ситуативно можно было бы предположить существенный рост активности турецких «инвестиционных структур», заинтересованных в захвате кажущихся «бесхозными» активов.
Другой вопрос, что «кейс Грузии» явственно продемонстрировал ограниченность возможностей общеевропейских структур в условиях нарастающей втянутости Европы в конфликт вокруг Украины. Поэтому крайне маловероятно, что в актуальных условиях произошло бы «заполнение вакуума» влияния со стороны структур ЕС. Максимум – увеличение политико-имиджевого присутствия и продолжение политики влияния через НПО. Для ряда стран постсоветского пространства (Армения, Казахстан, Киргизия) это может быть существенным риском, учитывая уже сейчас достигнутое влияние подобных структур, в частности Национального института Демократической партии США (NDI*, деятельность на территории РФ признана нежелательной), а также структур Джорджа Сороса (деятельность на территории РФ признана нежелательной).
Отметим наличие всех признаков сращивания радикал-глобалистов из США и «партии хаоса», где доминируют пробританские круги. Это обозначает главный риск для постсоветской Евразии: возможность превращения ряда регионов в пространство хаотизации. Очевидно, что по этому направлению идет Молдова и сопредельные регионы, вероятно, не исключая не только Приднестровье, но и Одесскую область. Также существуют риски использования части регионов постсоветской Центральной Азии, в частности, Ферганской и Ошской долин, а также – юга Казахстана, но уже против Китая.
В целом, при всей внешней удаленности от Большой Евразии, переход американской элиты – а очевидно, что Трамп не столько харизматик-одиночка, сколько фронтлайнер вполне понятных по своей направленности элитных группировок (модели «Крепость Америка») – создаст для Евразии новую геополитическую и геоэкономическую ситуацию. Это потребует глубокого переосмысления стратегии развития как на страновом, так и на «коалиционном» уровне. А также подчеркнет необходимость совершенствования институционального наполнения договоренностей на высшем уровне.
Оборона Покровска "сыпется", удар по Кривому Рогу, Беларусь заявляет о подготовке вторжения. 17.01
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На Хельсинкской судоверфи строились российские суда для арктических условий – теперь они попали под санкции США
Семь судов, построенных на Хельсинкской судоверфи (Helsinki Shipyard), были добавлены в санкционный список США. Эти суда используются на важных для России нефтяных месторождениях.
Семь судов, построенных на Хельсинкской судоверфи (Helsinki Shipyard), попали под санкции США, введенные против России.
Речь идет о вспомогательных судах ледового класса, которые Россия использует на нефтегазовых месторождениях Сахалина в северо-западной части Тихого океана. Суда были построены для российской судоходной компании «Совкомфлот».
На прошлой неделе США добавили десятки судов «Совкомфлота» в свой санкционный список. Компания является крупнейшим государственным судоходным оператором в России. Своим решением США стремятся сократить деятельность теневого флота и снизить доходы России от экспорта нефти. Суда и руководство «Совкомфлота» уже ранее попадали под санкции.
По данным редакции журналистских расследований Yle MOT, «Совкомфлот» также связан с многочисленными танкерами теневого флота, которые не были построены в Финляндии. Компания пыталась скрыть владение десятками танкеров с помощью фирм, зарегистрированных в Дубае, ОАЭ.
Суда, построенные на верфи в Хельсинки, зарегистрированы на Кипре под разными компаниями, но, согласно информации о владельцах, находятся под контролем «Совкомфлота».
Теневой флот – это суда, перевозящие российскую нефть и газ, которые обычно действуют под флагами других стран, не России. Их собственность скрывается с помощью офшорных зон.
Подозреваемое в повреждении кабелей в Финском заливе судно Eagle S также может принадлежать российскому теневому флоту.
Суда снабжения и транспортировки, построенные на Хельсинкской судоверфи, способствовали экспорту нефти из России и, возможно, деятельности теневого флота. Они в основном поддерживают нефтегазовые месторождения «Сахалин-1» и «Сахалин-2». Россия перевозит оттуда большие объемы сырой нефти в другие страны.
Эти суда имеют стратегически важное значение для России, так как способны работать в арктических условиях. Они используются для вспомогательных задач, таких как транспортировка оборудования и персонала, ремонтные работы, очистка льда вокруг нефтяных месторождений и других судов, а также в спасательных операциях.
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10 градусов мороза при ветре 25 – 30 метров в секунду.
Но, дело конечно не только в погоде, дело в безопасности.
Большое открытое пространство и массы людей, которые сложно контролировать.
Не обязательно снайпер, компактного fpv-дрона на оптоволокне может оказаться более чем достаточно.
Так что в помещении, точно, лучше.
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1985 Reagan inauguration held indoors, 40 years before second Trump inauguration to do the same
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Trump’s inauguration to be moved indoors
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Trump’s inauguration to be moved indoors
CNN - President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration will be moved indoors, he announced Friday, due to dangerously cold temperatures projected in the nation’s capital.
“I have ordered the Inauguration Address, in addition to prayers and other speeches, to be delivered in the United States Capitol Rotunda, as was used by Ronald Reagan in 1985, also because of very cold weather,” Trump posted on Truth Social.
“We will open Capital One Arena on Monday for LIVE viewing of this Historic event, and to host the Presidential Parade. I will join the crowd at Capital One, after my Swearing In,” Trump added.
CNN reported earlier Friday that plans were underway for Trump and Vice President-elect JD Vance to be sworn in in the Rotunda and that Trump’s team was in talks to potentially hold some of the festivities at the arena, where Trump will host a rally on Sunday.
“The Joint Congressional Committee on Inaugural Ceremonies will honor the request of the President-elect and his Presidential Inaugural Committee to move the 60th Inaugural Ceremonies inside the U.S. Capitol to the Rotunda,” the committee said in a statement.
The Secret Service and other agencies, including DC and US Capitol Police, are working to determine how moving the inauguration and parade indoors will change security plans for Monday, two law enforcement sources familiar with the planning told CNN.
Agencies now have just three days to put together a new security plan that previously took months to plan. The agencies have worked since early 2024 planning for the inauguration — designated by the Department of Homeland Security as a National Special Security Event, which triggers a multi-pronged federal approach.
Trump’s inauguration was expected to be attended by hundreds of thousands of ticketed guests and involve roughly 25,000 law enforcement and military personnel.
As of Friday morning, more than 30 miles of fencing — more than has ever erected for such an event — was still being set up and was meant to filter crowds through security checkpoints in anticipation for Trump’s now-scrapped outdoor inauguration and parade down Pennsylvania Avenue from the Capitol to the White House.
Officials are worried about the low temperatures being a health risk to attendees and guests — a concern Trump voiced on Friday.
“I don’t want to see people hurt, or injured, in any way. It is dangerous conditions for the tens of thousands of Law Enforcement, First Responders, Police K9s and even horses, and hundreds of thousands of supporters that will be outside for many hours on the 20th (In any event, if you decide to come, dress warmly!),” Trump posted.
The last president to be sworn in indoors was Reagan in 1985, when daytime temperatures dipped to 7 degrees with a windchill of -25. Reagan took the oath of office inside the Capitol rotunda. His inaugural parade was canceled.
President William Henry Harrison is widely believed to have caught a cold during his 1841 inaugural ceremony, during which he gave a two-hour speech and wore no coat or hat, according to the University of Virginia’s Miller Center. He later contracted pneumonia and died one month after his inauguration.
This year, the temperature on Inauguration Day at noon — when the president-elect swears in — is expected to be in the low 20s, which is around 20 degrees below normal — likely the coldest since Reagan’s second inauguration.
Winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph are likely Monday. These winds will make conditions feel frigid. Wind chills are likely to hover around 10 degrees during the daylight hours and could drop into the single digits after sundown.
A mix of rain and snow is possible Sunday ahead of the main event, but Monday so far looks to be cold and windy, but dry.
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Trump Inauguration Will Be Held Indoors
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BREAKING: Trump inauguration moved inside due to extreme cold
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С интересом и понятными ожиданиями, Dimitriy.
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Генеральный директор агентства мобильного маркетинга Mobisharks (входит в ГК Kokoc Group) — об эффективном мобильном маркетинге и примерах успешных стратегий.
За последние пару лет реклама банков изменилась. Появились новые сюжеты и герои. Реклама по-прежнему — не только инструмент продвижения услуг, но и способ формирования доверия к финансовым организациям. Главный тренд, который отмечают эксперты,— переход от сухого перечисления выгод к эмоционально окрашенным коммуникациям.
Антитрендами наружной рекламы в текущем году стали прямолинейность и чрезмерная перегруженность сообщений. Наружная реклама продолжает показывать рост: число рекламных конструкций за последний год увеличилось более чем на 2 тысячи.
В компании Sellty спрогнозировали развитие рынка электронной коммерции в сегменте СМБ на ближайший год. По оценке основателя Sellty Марии Бар-Бирюковой, число собственных интернет-магазинов среднего, малого и микробизнеса продолжит расти и увеличится минимум на 40% до конца 2025 года. Компании будут и дальше развиваться на маркетплейсах, но станут чаще комбинировать несколько каналов продаж.
10 сентября – Всемирный день психического здоровья. Специально к этой дате компания HINT опросила коллег в сфере маркетинга, рекламы и пиара, чтобы понять, как представители этих профессий могут помочь себе и другим поддержать в норме психическое здоровье.
Чего не хватает радио, чтобы увеличить свою долю на рекламном рынке? Аудиопиратство: угроза или возможности для отрасли? Каковы первые результаты общероссийской кампании по продвижению индустриального радиоплеера? Эти и другие вопросы были рассмотрены на конференции «Радио в глобальной медиаконкуренции», спикерами и участниками которой стали эксперты ГПМ Радио.
Деловая программа 28-й международной специализированной выставки технологий и услуг для производителей и заказчиков рекламы «Реклама-2021» открылась десятым юбилейным форумом «Матрица рекламы». Его организовали КВК «Империя» и «Экспоцентр».
28 марта в Центральном доме художника состоялась 25-ая выставка маркетинговых коммуникаций «Дизайн и реклама NEXT». Одним из самых ярких её событий стал День социальной рекламы, который организовала Ассоциация директоров по коммуникациям и корпоративным медиа России (АКМР) совместно с АНО «Лаборатория социальной рекламы» и оргкомитетом LIME.
На VII Международном форуме «Матрица рекламы», прошедшем в ЦВК «Экспоцентр» в рамках международной выставки «Реклама-2018», большой интерес у профессиональной аудитории вызвала VI Конференция «Интернет-реклама».
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