New video of alleged N. Korean troops surfaces, NATO and Pentagon monitoring closely
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U.S. Says North Korean Troops Are in Russia, Calling It ‘Very Serious’
A TV screen at a train station last week in Seoul, South Korea, showed images of soldiers from the North. Credit...Ahn Young-Joon/Associated Press
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Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III confirmed on Wednesday that North Korea had sent troops to Russia to join the fight against Ukraine, a major shift in Moscow’s effort to win the war. Mr. Austin called the North’s presence a “very serious” escalation that would have ramifications in both Europe and Asia.
“What exactly are they doing?’’ Mr. Austin told reporters at a military base in Italy. “Left to be seen.” He gave no details about the number of troops already there or the number expected to arrive.
His statement came as American intelligence officials said they were preparing to release a trove of intelligence, including satellite photographs, that show troop ships moving from North Korea to training areas in Vladivostok on Russia’s East coast, and other Russian territory further to the north. No troops have yet reached Ukraine, the intelligence officials said.
For two weeks, there have been reports of the movements, fueled by the Ukrainian and South Korean governments, that upward of 12,000 North Koreans were training to fight alongside Russian soldiers.
American officials have said they estimate that about 2,500 North Korean troops have been dispatched so far. But they made no estimate of how many more would follow, or even how well they might perform on territory the North’s conscripts have never fought in, amid fellow fighters who speak a different language.
There was no immediate comment from the Kremlin. Russia has earlier denied earlier reports on North Korea’s troop presence.
Financial cooperation and BRICS expansion are on the table as Putin hosts Global South leaders
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KAZAN, Russia (AP) — Russia’s President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday hosted China’s Xi Jinping, India’s Narendra Modi and other world leaders at a summit of the BRICS bloc of developing economies, part of the Kremlin’s efforts to challenge Western global clout.
Speaking at the start of Wednesday’s BRICS meeting, Putin named the deepening of cooperation in the financial sector as part of its agenda. He said participants were also set to discuss a range of international issues including the settlement of regional conflicts, along with the expansion of the BRICS group of countries.
“BRICS strategy on the global arena conforms with the strivings of the main part of the global community, the so-called global majority,” Putin said.
The alliance that initially included Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa has expanded to embrace Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia. Turkey, Azerbaijan and Malaysia have formally applied to become members, and several others have expressed interest in joining.
The three-day summit in the city of Kazan was attended by 36 countries, highlighting the failure of U.S.-led efforts to isolate Russia over its actions in Ukraine. The Kremlin touted the summit as “the largest foreign policy event ever held” by Russia.
The Kremlin has cast BRICS as a counterbalance to the Western-dominated global order and redoubled its efforts to court the countries of the Global South after sending troops into Ukraine in February 2022.
Russia has specifically pushed for the creation of a new payment system that would offer an alternative to the global bank messaging network SWIFT and allow Moscow to dodge Western sanctions and trade with partners.
Putin, who is set to hold more than a dozen bilateral meetings on the sidelines, conferred with Xi, Modi and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa on Tuesday ahead of the summit’s opening.
Xi and Putin announced a “no-limits” partnership weeks before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. They already met twice this year, in Beijing in May and at a Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Kazakhstan in July.
During Tuesday’s meeting with Xi, Putin described the relations between Moscow and Beijing as “one of the main stabilizing factors on the world arena.” He vowed to “expand coordination on all multilateral forums for the sake of global stability and a fair world order.”
“Amid tectonic transformations unseen for centuries, the international situation is undergoing serious changes and upheavals,” Xi said, hailing the “unprecedented character” of Russia-China ties.
Russia’s cooperation with India has also flourished as New Delhi sees Moscow as a time-tested partner since Cold War times despite Russia’s close ties with India’s main rival, China.
Western allies want India to be more active in persuading Moscow to end the war in Ukraine, but Modi has avoided condemning Russia while emphasizing a peaceful settlement. “We fully support the quickest establishment of peace and stability,” said Modi, who last visited Russia in July.
On Thursday, Putin is also set to meet with United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who will be making his first visit to Russia in more than two years. Guterres has repeatedly criticized Russia’s actions in Ukraine.
An Appeal for Brazil’s Forests, Painted 11 Stories Tall
Using natural materials from environmental disasters around the country, a Brazilian activist sends a message to a U.S. farming giant.
A building in downtown São Paulo, Brazil, was painted with a 15,000-square-foot mural of an Indigenous leader, Alessandra Korap.
Two weeks ago, on a rooftop 11 stories above São Paulo, a popular Brazilian street artist, Mundano, sat on an overturned bucket, mixing water, varnish and ash collected from fires that had ripped through a Brazilian rainforest to create a palette of gray tones.
Over the ledge awaited a newly whitewashed, 15,000-square-foot wall of an elegant apartment building in plain view of the buses and cars heading down a main artery leading to the city center.
That evening, he and five assistant artists would start painting a massive mural of an Indigenous leader, Alessandra Korap, in a scorched Amazonian landscape, holding up a sign urging Cargill, the Minnesota-based agricultural giant, to rid its supply chain of crops grown on recently deforested land.
The project is a collaboration with the conservation nonprofit Stand.Earth, which is funding the mural as part of a campaign targeting Cargill.
The final result is to be officially unveiled on Wednesday, though it is hardly a secret to the supermarket shoppers, passers-by and those who work in the small shops that surround a parking lot below the mural.
“I’m already tired and we haven’t started yet,” said Mundano, whose (rarely mentioned) first name is Thiago.
Mundano, a street artist, mixing water, varnish and ash collected from fires that had ripped through a Brazilian rainforest to create a palette of gray tones.
The mural is near a main street leading into the center of São Paulo.
Over long days and some nights, Mundano and his assistants worked from eight suspended scaffolds (like the ones window-washers use).
They used paints made with ash from fires in the Atlantic Rainforest in Brazil, mud from floods that destroyed swaths of the southern Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul, charcoal from charred Amazonian trees and clay from drought-plagued river basins across the country.
“I’m connecting the droughts and the floods and the fires because it’s all linked,” said Mundano, who claims this will be Brazil’s largest mural painted with only natural materials (plus a water-based acrylic varnish), a style that has become his trademark.
The final step was to fill in the six-story-high sign held in the mural by Ms. Korap, a member of the Munduruku tribe who was raised in Pará state. It reads: “Stop the destruction” in English and Portuguese, with the hashtag #KeepYourPromise.
The “promise” refers to a pledge Cargill made in November 2023, setting 2025 as a deadline “to eliminate deforestation and land conversion from its direct and indirect supply chain” of soy and other crops in Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay. Cargill is one of the largest exporters of Brazilian soy.
Mundano, left, and his assistant analyzing the color details of the mural against a photo of Ms. Korap.
Artists made their paints using ash from burned Amazon forests, mud from floods, charcoal from charred trees and clay from drought-plagued river basins in Brazil.
“I want to show an image of our struggle, of this fearless warrior woman” said Ms. Korap, who was one of six winners of the prestigious Goldman Environmental Prize in 2023. “It says we’re alive, we’re fighting every single day.”
In an April report, Stand.Earth cited 18 companies with “confirmed or suspected links” to Cargill that have deforested or converted wild land to soy production. The environmental advocacy group covered the mural’s cost, around $80,000, according to Mathew Jacobson, the Cargill campaign’s director.
In a statement, Cargill said it was “on track to deliver” on its commitment “to eliminate deforestation in soy supply chains’’ in the region.
It also accused Stand.Earth of misrepresenting Cargill’s work.
Of the companies listed in the April report, Cargill said, two are not in its supply chain, three have been removed and four have not done business with Cargill for years. Cargill said it had investigated the others and cleared them of using deforesting land for crops.
Earlier this week, Mundano and his crew methodically painted, filmed and then used brooms and water-filled fire extinguishers to erase 21 versions of the sign calling out members of the billionaire Cargill-MacMillan family, who together control the company.
Mundano using water to erase signs calling out members of the Cargill-MacMillan family.
Brooms also were used to erase the names.
The versions were based on paintings made by members of the Munduruku community at a workshop Mundano held with Ms. Korap in July. They will be delivered by Mr. Jacobson to the Cargill families’ homes in the United States.
“We see them as the leaders and the driving force of the industry that’s most responsible for the destruction of the forests and other landscapes as well,” Mr. Jacobson said, noting that Cargill’s private ownership avoids accountability to shareholders.
“Because of the amount of resources the owners have, the idea of putting in place systems to monitor those things is incumbent on them,’’ he added, “instead of continuing to profit from the destruction.”
Cargill more than doubled its profit in Brazil from 2022 to 2023, the company reported in April.
The campaign is also targeting a long-planned and much-delayed 580-mile railway known as the Ferrogrão, or Grain Rail, which is meant to make it easier to transport agricultural and mining products to the Amazonian river port of Miritituba.
Parts of the planned route of the privately financed government project slice through protected lands.
Cargill said it was “not part of the consortium that was formed to build’’ the railway, but said that increasing transportation capacity while protecting the environment was vital to feeding the world.
The artist known as Hulk, left, and Mundano checking out the progress of the painting.
Daniel Wera smoking a petyngua, a ceremonial pipe, before starting work.
By last week, the artists at the mural site had their routines down. An artist known as Hullk (whose real name is André França), a native of Manaus, a city in Amazonas State, grated dried guaraná fruit into water to make a natural stimulant commonly used in his region.
Daniel Wera, smoked a petyngua, a ceremonial pipe used by the Guarani people he has worked with in the São Paulo region. “I use it so I don’t forget why I’m here,” he said. “I’m here to represent the forest.”
Two sheets of paper displayed over 20 earth and ash tones and their “recipes.” Mundano sat on a varnish bucket, grating clay collected from a drought-stricken region near Ms. Korap’s home in Pará state.. The resulting shade would be used for the traces of smoke floating by trees in the mural’s background.
“Is there any Atlantic rainforest left?” said another artist, André Firmiano, referring not to the fast-disappearing Brazilian ecosystem but to the dark gray tone used to outline the trees.
“No,” someone said.
“So let’s make some more.”
Later, Mr. Wera and Mr. Hullk hung from one of the eight scaffolds, adding detail to the feathers that make up Ms. Korap’s towering tiara, checking their work against a laminated photo of her.
Mundano and his assistants worked from eight suspended scaffolds.
“I’m connecting the droughts and the floods and the fires because it’s all linked,” Mundano said.
Down below, shoppers and workers regularly looked up, curious and mostly admiring.
“This mural was a gift,” said Frankie Medici, 46, who runs the XBull Grill burger stand next to the lot and had grown accustomed to the drab gray paint that preceded the mural.
“Customers have taken so many photos and wondering what’s going in the sign,’’ he said. “It will be a jab at someone, at the very least.”
A few shoppers made pointed jokes, wondering if taxpayer money was financing the art (it was not) and whether the warning to “stop the destruction” was directed at Brazil’s leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. (It wasn’t).
Ms. Korap will not be at the mural’s unveiling; she is back home, but plans to visit next month and has already posted drone footage of the in-progress artwork on Instagram.
“Whether we are rich or poor, whether we live in the forest or in the city,” she said, “if we don’t protect our Mother Earth, we will all crumble.”
During the project, shoppers and workers regularly looked up, curious and mostly admiring it.
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С сожалением и понятными пожеланиями, Dimitriy.
Министр финансов Силуанов подтвердил создание аналога SWIFT в рамках БРИКС. Платежная система объединения будет включать полноценную систему передачи финансовых сообщений. Ее планируют создать с учетом использования цифровых финансовых активов.
Польша пока не собирается высылать посла РФ из Варшавы, сообщил глава МИД.
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Rosyjski ekspert: reakcją Moskwy ws. konsulatu w Poznaniu może być zamknięcie konsulatu RP w Irkucku
Rosyski politolog Igor Grecki, ekspert Międzynarodowego Ośrodka na rzecz Obrony i Bezpieczeństwa (ICDS) w Tallinie powiedział PAP, że reakcją Rosji na wycofanie przez Polskę zgody na działalność konsulatu FR w Poznaniu może być zamknięcie polskiego konsulatu w Irkucku.
Grecki, który jest ekspertem ICDS w sprawach polityki zagranicznej Rosji wobec Polski i Ukrainy, skomentował w ten sposób zapowiedź MSZ Rosji o "bolesnych" retorsjach w związku z zamknięciem placówki w Poznaniu.
"Zwykle w takich sytuacjach strony działają na zasadzie wzajemności. Jeśli wydalana jest jakaś liczba dyplomatów jednej strony, to drugi kraj w odpowiedzi wydala taką samą liczbę dyplomatów. Jeśli zamykany jest konsulat, to odpowiednio, kroki w odpowiedzi polegają na tym, że zamykany jest (również) konsulat" - powiedział Grecki. Przypomniał, ze w 2019 roku wydalony został z Polski rosyjski wicekonsul w Poznaniu. Wówczas w odpowiedzi Rosja wydaliła wicekonsula RP w Irkucku.
"W Polsce znajduje się obecnie ambasada i trzy konsulaty (Rosji). To samo dotyczy polskich przedstawicielstw w Rosji: jest to ambasada w Moskwie plus konsulaty w Petersburgu, Irkucku i Kaliningradzie. Wszystkie działają do tej pory. Jako że polskie MSZ podjęło decyzję o zamknięciu konsulatu w Poznaniu, to jeśli bazować na precedensie z 2019 roku z wydaleniem dyplomatów (...), logiczne jest przypuszczenie, że Rosja w odpowiedzi zamknie konsulat generalny RP w Irkucku" - powiedział ekspert.
Podkreślił, że "jak powiedział minister (spraw zagranicznych RP Radosław - PAP) Sikorski, Polska zdecydowała się na ten krok w związku z tym, że Rosja przeprowadza akcje sabotażu na terytorium Polski".
"Wydaje mi się, że zamknięcie konsulatu (w Poznaniu) nie zakończy akcji sabotażu ze strony Rosji. Rosja werbuje ludzi na terytorium państw zachodnich przez komunikatory, przez (serwis) Telegram. Celem tych akcji jest wywołanie chaosu w krajach UE, które popierają Ukrainę (...) i osłabienie tego poparcia" - powiedział politolog.
Jak ocenił, "w tej sytuacji ze strony krajów Unii Europejskiej - partnerów Ukrainy byłoby logiczne wzmocnienie poparcia Ukrainy, być może - zaproszenie jej do NATO, a przynajmniej ogłoszenie tego zaproszenia". Zdaniem eksperta "najlepiej, by była to odpowiedź nie tylko Polski, ale wszystkich krajów partnerskich Zachodu, w tym USA".
Grecki zauważył, że "skala wydawania wiz i pracy przedstawicielstw dyplomatycznych w placówkach konsularnych obu krajów - Polski i Rosji - zmniejszyła się". Wyraził opinię, że rzeczniczka MSZ Rosji Maria Zacharowa mówiąc o "bolesnej" odpowiedzi "zaostrza sytuację, atmosferę", ale też podkreślił, że "nie jest przekonany, że ze strony MSZ Rosji wszystko zakończy się na słowach".
Minister Sikorski poinformował we wtorek, że za ostatnimi próbami dywersji w Polsce i w krajach sojuszniczych stoi Moskwa. Oznajmił, że wycofał zgodę na funkcjonowanie konsulatu Rosji w Poznaniu, a jego personel zostanie uznany za osoby niepożądane w Polsce. Szef MSZ powiedział, że Federacja Rosyjska prowadzi wojnę przeciwko Ukrainie i wojnę hybrydową przeciwko Zachodowi, w tym przeciwko Polsce.
Podkreślił, że na wojnę hybrydową składa się agresja informacyjna, ataki cybernetyczne, destabilizacja granicy polsko-białoruskiej oraz akty dywersji. Zażądał zaprzestania prowadzenia wojny hybrydowej przeciwko Polsce i jej sojusznikom. "W wypadku kontynuacji rezerwujemy prawo do podejmowania kolejnych stanowczych działań" - zapowiedział.
Rzecznik MSZ Paweł Wroński wyjaśnił, że decyzja o wycofaniu zgody na funkcjonowanie konsulatu w Poznaniu zostanie przekazana stronie rosyjskiej i prawdopodobnie w ciągu najbliższych dni konsulat zostanie zamknięty, a rosyjscy dyplomaci będą musieli opuścić terytorium Polski.
Rosyjski konsulat w Poznaniu powstał w 1946 r. na mocy porozumienia między ambasadą Związku Radzieckiego a Ministerstwem Spraw Zagranicznych PRL. Konsulat zawiesił działalność w 1948 r. i został ponownie otwarty w 1960 r. 11 lat później, czyli w 1971 r. został przekształcony w konsulat generalny. Pozostałe konsulaty generalne FR w Polsce znajdują się w Gdańsku i Wrocławiu, a ambasada - w Warszawie.
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Top S. Korean, Polish, Czech security officials agree to cooperate on response to...
Министр иностранных дел Южной Кореи Чо Тхэ Ёль, комментируя неподтвержденные и опровергнутые Пхеньяном слухи о якобы возможной отправке северокорейских войск в зону конфликта на Украине, пригрозил КНДР международным уголовным судом, юрисдикцию которого та не признает.
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State Department Holds Press Briefing Amid Reports Of Deployment Of North Korean Troops In Ukraine.
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NATO, US warn North Korea against sending troops to Ukraine | REUTERS
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United States confirms North Korean forces are in Russia.
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North Korea sends troops to Russia to fight in Ukraine.
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S. Korea's intel agency says N. Korea sent 3,000 troops to Russia, with more expected by December
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Власти Южной Кореи: КНДР отправила в Россию 3 тыс. Военных
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🔻По сведениям южнокорейских властей, КНДР уже отправила в Россию 3 тысяч своих военнослужащих, а их общее число должно достичь 10 тысяч, сообщил член комитета парламента Южной Кореи по вопросам разведки Пак Сун-Вон.
🔻Ранее разведслужбы Южной Кореи сообщали, что в России уже находятся 1,5 тысячи северокорейских военнослужащих, которые могут вскоре отправиться на войну в Украине.
«Свидетельства о том, что этих военных обучают в Северной Корее, появились в сентябре и октябре, — сказал член комитета (цитата по агентству Reuters). — Похоже, что военнослужащих уже распределили по различным учебным базам в России и сейчас они привыкают к местным условиям».
🔻В среду министр обороны США Ллойд Остин впервые подтвердил, что у Пентагона есть доказательства присутствия в России военных из КНДР. При этом Остин заявил, что Вашингтон все еще пытается установить, какие именно задачи предстоит решать этим военнослужащим.
🔻Ранее президент Владимир Зеленский заявил, что, по его данным, КНДР может отправить на войну против Украины две бригады по 6 тысяч человек в каждой.
🔻Согласно сведениям американской газеты WSJ, северокорейские военные должны получать реальный опыт боевых действий в условиях войны против Украины, и их отправка была обусловлена тайным положением договора между Москвой и Пхеньяном, подписанного этим летом.
🔻Россия и КНДР неоднократно отрицали сообщения об отправке в Украину северокорейских боеприпасов и военных.
Putin calls for alternative international payment system at Brics summit
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Vladimir Putin has opened the expanded Brics summit by issuing a call for an alternative international payments system that could prevent the US using the dollar as a political weapon.
But the summit communique indicated that little progress had been made on an alternative payment system.
Speaking at the summit in the Russian city of Kazan, Putin said: “The dollar is being used as a weapon. We really see that this is so. I think that this is a big mistake by those who do this.” He said that nearly 95% of trade between Russia and China is now conducted in rubles and yuan.
The move to de-dollarize the world economy unnerves some Brics members – notably Brazil and India – that do not want their rapidly expanding club to become solely pro-Chinese and anti-western.
Russia is working on creating a settlement and payment infrastructure that would bypass the Swift payment system based in Belgium.
The de-dollarization initiative is probably the most concrete proposal likely to emerge from the summit that has been remarkable for giving Putin his biggest international platform since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The summit has been attended by the nine Brics members including the Indian prime minister, Narendra Modi, the Chinese premier and the president of South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa.
The UN secretary general, António Guterres, also arrived late on Monday with criticism from Ukraine ringing in his ears for finding time to fly from New York to meet a Russian leader for whom an arrest warrant has been issued by the international criminal court. Ukraine complained that Guterres refused to attend the Ukraine peace conference in July.
Guterres’s spokesperson insisted that he would not retreat from any of his longstanding positions on the illegality of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and would make that clear in his public as well as private remarks. The spokesperson added special provisions applied to allow the UN secretary general to meet world leaders that are subject to arrest warrants.
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The future purpose and size of the Brics summit – now in its 16th year - also proved controversial, with Putin saying it would be wrong to ignore the unprecedented interest in global south countries wishing to join the organisation, and keeping the organisation effective.
Brazil in alliance with India has been trying to prevent Brics, already expanded from five to nine members at last year’s Brics summit in South Africa, being reshaped simply into an anti-western alliance that acts as a cheerleader for Russia and China.
Speaking by video link the Brazilian president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, said: “Many insist on dividing the world into friends and enemies. But the most vulnerable are not interested in simplistic dichotomies; what they want is plenty of food, decent work and quality universally accessible public schools and hospitals.”
Nations to be admitted were only agreed after Brazil successfully held out a veto against Venezuela.
The new members, a diverse geographical and political group, are expected to be Cuba, Bolivia, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Belarus, Turkey, Nigeria, Uganda, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. The decision by Turkey, a member of Nato, to attend has raised eyebrows.
Agathe Demarais, a sanctions specialist at the European Council of Foreign Relations, said: “At this stage it is hard to imagine a widespread development and adoption of Brics financial tools globally. The US dollar’s domination of the global currency landscape is entrenched, both for trade transactions and foreign exchange reserves; more than 80% of global trade transactions are invoiced in US dollars, which also accounts for nearly 60% of central banks reserves.
White House reacts to evidence of North Korea troops moving to Russia.
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U.S. Says North Korean Troops Are in Russia to Aid Fight Against Ukraine
Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III called the situation “very, very serious,” though he said that what the soldiers were doing in Russia was “left to be seen.”
For weeks, the Ukrainian and South Korean governments have fueled reports that more than 12,000 North Koreans were training to fight alongside Russian soldiers.Credit...Ahn Young-Joon/Associated Press
Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III confirmed on Wednesday that North Korea had sent troops to Russia to join the fight against Ukraine, a major shift in Moscow’s effort to win the war. Mr. Austin called the North’s presence a “very, very serious” escalation that would have ramifications in both Europe and Asia.
“What exactly are they doing?” Mr. Austin told reporters at a military base in Italy after a trip to Ukraine. “Left to be seen.” He gave no details about the number of troops already there or the number expected to arrive.
Mr. Austin cast President Vladimir V. Putin’s need for North Korean mercenaries as a sign of desperation.
“This is an indication that he may be in even more trouble than most people realize,” he said. “He went tin-cupping early on to get additional weapons and materials from the D.P.R.K.,’’ he said, using the abbreviation for Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, “and then from Iran, and now he’s making a move to get more people.”
But he said intelligence analysts were still trying to discern whether the troops were moving toward Ukraine.
Ukrainian officials insist they are headed there, and Ukraine’s defense minister was quoted on Wednesday saying he expected to see North Korean troops in Kursk, the Russian territory that Ukraine has occupied, in the coming days.
Mr. Austin’s statement came as American intelligence officials said they were preparing to release a trove of intelligence, including satellite photographs, that show troop ships moving from North Korea to training areas in Vladivostok on Russia’s east coast and other Russian territory further to the north.
For two weeks, there have been reports of the movements, fueled by the Ukrainian and South Korean governments, that more than 12,000 North Koreans were training to fight alongside Russian soldiers.
American officials have said they estimate that 2,500 North Korean troops have been dispatched. But they made no estimate of how many more might follow, or even how well they might perform on territory that the North’s conscripts have never fought in, amid fellow fighters who speak a different language.
There was no immediate comment from the Kremlin. Russia has denied earlier reports on North Korea’s troop presence. But Moscow is straining to maintain its costly offensives in Ukraine without destabilizing Russian society. U.S. officials estimate that Russia is recruiting 25,000 to 30,000 new soldiers a month, just enough to replace the dead and the wounded. Some military analysts believe the Kremlin will have a hard time maintaining that pace without resorting to another round of unpopular mobilization.
To avoid the political cost of a draft, the Russian government has resorted to increasingly unorthodox recruitment tactics. Many Russian regions have sharply increased sign-up bonuses paid to volunteer soldiers and expanded recruitment from prisons and from poor nations such as Cuba and Nepal.
Nonetheless, both Russia and North Korea experts called the arrival of North Korean troops a watershed moment. Desperate not to stir up domestic resentments about the huge casualties Russia has taken — over 600,000 killed or wounded, American officials recently estimated — Mr. Putin is now reaching for mercenary forces, supplied by the same country that has sold him more than a million artillery rounds, many of them defective.
For Kim Jong-un, the North Korean leader, the war in Ukraine has been a pathway out of geopolitical isolation. For the first time in decades, the North has assets that a major power is willing to pay for.
His longer-term plan, experts say, may be to improve the reach of his intercontinental ballistic missiles. He is eager, American intelligence agencies believe, to make it clear that his arsenal of nuclear-tipped weapons is capable of hitting American cities.
“This is the real ‘no limits’ partnership,” said Victor Cha, a North Korea expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies who was a member of President George W. Bush’s National Security Council. “We are in a whole different era if North Korean soldiers are dying for Putin. It will raise the ask when Kim makes demands, and Putin will give him what he wants.”
In comments to reporters on Monday, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine sought to portray North Korea’s presence as an attempt by Mr. Putin to avoid an unpopular mobilization.
“I wouldn’t say they have run out of personnel,” the Ukrainian leader said of Russia. “However, the reluctance to mobilize their own people is certainly increasing, and there are formats for mobilizing North Korean troops. This is definitely happening.”
“This indicates that the consequences of this war are already impacting Russian society,” he added.
One of the central mysteries American and South Korean intelligence agencies are focused on is what Mr. Kim may be receiving in return for contributing troops.
So far, officials say, there is no clear quid pro quo in the transaction; the United States has not picked up intelligence suggesting that Russia agreed to pay for the mercenaries, or provide oil or much-needed military technology in return. But there have been reports of increased cooperation on missile technology, and in that arena, Mr. Kim has some very specific needs.
He has been trying to demonstrate that his intercontinental ballistic missiles have the range to reach the United States — a goal that North Korea has had since it seriously began work on its nuclear weapons program in the early 1980s.
As Mr. Kim’s missiles have grown more accurate, he has conducted flight tests that have flown in high arcs into space and landed in the Pacific. But he has not yet conducted a test across the Pacific, one that could also demonstrate that his warheads could survive the intense heat and vibration of re-entering the atmosphere — a challenge that plagued the American and Soviet missile programs in the 1950s.
“Kim may believe that going this far for Putin will mean that he can raise the ceiling on what he wants in return, possibly higher-end technology for ICBMs and nuclear subs,” said Mr. Cha. “Both are stated goals of the program.”
Mr. Putin, American intelligence officials suggest, may also have a reason to cooperate. With the Biden administration gradually allowing American-made missiles to be shot into Russian territory by Ukrainian forces, some senior officials believe, Mr. Putin has every incentive to help North Korea show that it could threaten American territory.
Another mystery is how China is reacting to the North’s new deals with Russia. U.S. intelligence has concluded that Chinese officials now want to assure that Russia wins in its conflict with Ukraine, demonstrating that the West, with all its firepower, cannot prevail far from its shores.
But North Korea has always been highly dependent on Beijing, and Mr. Kim’s move to take advantage of Russia’s need for ammunition and troops is presumed to be unwelcome in Beijing. China remains the North’s critical supplier of oil, and its major trading partner. And it has sometimes used that leverage to insist that Mr. Kim not create instability or conflict in Asia.
Now the provision of troops threatens all that. But so far, officials say, they have not picked up evidence that China is expressing its displeasure.
Цитата:
What We Know About North Korea’s Role in the Ukraine War
North Korea’s supply of munitions has already been critical to the Russian war effort. Now, its troops appear to be poised to join the fight in Ukraine.
A television news report in Seoul on Monday showing soldiers believed to be from North Korea standing in line to receive supplies in Russia.Credit...Ahn Young-Joon/Associated Press
Five months ago, the autocratic leaders of Russia and North Korea signed a treaty on mutual defense and cooperation, deepening ties between the two countries that stretch back beyond the Cold War.
Now, North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, has deployed soldiers to assist Moscow’s war effort in Ukraine. More than 600,000 Russian troops have been killed and wounded since President Vladimir V. Putin launched the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
On Wednesday, the United States confirmed that North Korean troops had landed in Russia to join the fight against Ukraine, a major shift in Moscow’s effort to win the war. Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III called the North’s presence a “very serious” escalation that would have ramifications in both Europe and Asia.
“What exactly are they doing?’’ Mr. Austin told reporters at a military base in Italy. “Left to be seen.” He gave no details about the number of troops already there or the number expected to arrive.
North Korean soldiers started reaching the Russian Far East earlier this month, sailing on Russian Navy ships, according to South Korea’s intelligence agency. There are 3,000 North Korean soldiers on Russian soil at the moment, the agency said on Wednesday, and their numbers are expected to swell to 10,000 by December.
Earlier this week, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine suggested that North Korea was preparing 12,000 soldiers to fight on the Russian side.
Moscow and Pyongyang have denied the claims, and no hard evidence has emerged that North Korean troops have yet walked onto the battlefield.
North Korea has one of the world’s largest militaries, with 1.2 million soldiers, but it has not fought in a major conflict since the 1950-53 Korean War. For decades, Pyongyang claimed that its military buildup was for deterrence of war on the Korean Peninsula. Dispatching troops to the Ukrainian front would mark its first major intervention in an overseas war.
Here’s what to know about North Korea’s growing military ties with Russia.
How is North Korea helping Russia?
Mr. Kim and Mr. Putin have met twice since last year, signing the treaty in Pyongyang in June. Mr. Putin has relied on Mr. Kim to replenish his dwindling weapons stockpiles.
South Korean defense officials have said that North Korea has sent more than 13,000 shipping containers of artillery rounds, anti-tank rockets and KN-23 short-range ballistic missiles to Russia since August 2023. It also dispatched technicians and officers to help the Russians operate its weapons and to collect data on how its missiles fared in modern warfare, especially against Western air-defense systems.
South Korea’s National Intelligence Service said on Friday that Russian navy ships transported 1,500 North Korean special operation forces to the Russian port city of Vladivostok between Oct. 8 and Oct. 13. The troops were then said to move deeper inland to the cities of Ussuriysk, Khabarovsk and Blagoveshchensk. They were given Russian military uniforms, weapons and forged identification documents so that they could pose as people from eastern Siberia, where indigenous Buryat and Yakut people bear Asian facial features, according to the intelligence agency.
The South also released satellite photos showing what it called Russian navy ship movements near a North Korean port and hundreds of suspected North Korean soldiers assembling in Ussuriysk and Khabarovsk last Wednesday.
A handout photograph from South Korea’s National Intelligence Service that the agency said shows North Korean personnel gathered at a military facility in the Russian city of Ussuriysk, on Oct. 16.Credit...South Korea's National Intelligence Service, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
“The troops are expected to be deployed to the front lines once they complete their acclimatization training,” the agency said.
North Korea is prepared to send more troops to the Russian war effort, it added, noting the frequent traffic of Russian transport planes between Pyongyang and Vladivostok.
What do North Korea and Russia want?
Mr. Putin wants to overcome the heavy casualties that Russia has suffered on the front lines in Ukraine.
“This is an indication that he may be even in more trouble than most people realize,” Mr. Austin said. “But again, he went tin-cupping early on to get additional weapons and materials from D.P.R.K., and then from Iran, and now he’s making the move to get more people, if that is the case, if these troops are designed to be a part of the fight in Ukraine,” Mr. Austin said, using the abbreviation for North Korea’s formal name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.
North Korea has been one of the few countries to publicly support the Russian invasion. That backing has provided Mr. Kim with rare leverage to chart a new course for foreign relations after the collapse of his negotiations with former President Donald J. Trump.
Mr. Kim’s military support guaranteed that Mr. Putin would veto any new American-led attempt to impose new sanctions on North Korea at the U.N. Security Council and undermine efforts to enforce the existing ones. North Korea has also been receiving oil from Russia, which would help it sustain its confrontational stance toward the United States and its allies, South Korean officials said.
Less clear is whether Mr. Putin will go so far as to help North Korea overcome technological hurdles in its nuclear and missile programs. Although it has conducted six nuclear tests and launched several intercontinental ballistic missiles, North Korea has yet to master technologies to enable its missiles to reach targets in the United States.
A photo provided by North Korean state media showing President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia with Kim Jong-un at a ceremony in Pyongyang in June. The military ties between the two leaders have deepened.Credit...Korean Central News Agency, via Associated Press
Some analysts say that by sending troops to help Russia, North Korea was emulating a path that South Korea took decades ago.
Seoul cemented its alliance with Washington by committing nearly 320,000 troops to the Vietnam War, the largest foreign contingent that fought alongside American forces. In return, the United States helped modernize South Korea’s decrepit military. It also helped spur its ally’s economic growth with cheap loans.
How has the world responded?
Moscow and Pyongyang have denied the existence of an arms deal, or reports of North Korean troops in Russia.
The strongest reaction has been from South Korea, which has faced increasing belligerence from the North. Seoul has deemed the growing military ties between Moscow and Pyongyang “a grave security threat” and a violation of multiple United Nations resolutions barring any member nation’s military cooperation with North Korea.
On Tuesday, the office of the South Korean president, Yoon Suk Yeol, accused the North of “driving its young people into an unjustifiable war as mercenaries.”
It warned that it could take “phased countermeasures” to respond to the growing “military collusion” between Moscow and Pyongyang. Such steps could include supplying both defensive and offensive weapons to Ukraine, a senior South Korean official said on Tuesday, speaking on condition of anonymity.
So far, Seoul has limited its direct support for Ukraine to humanitarian and financial aid and nonlethal military equipment, such as mine detectors.
Protesters in Seoul on Wednesday called on the South Korean government not to supply Ukraine with lethal arms.Credit...Jeon Heon-Kyun/EPA, via Shutterstock
South Korean officials say that by committing troops to Russian forces in Ukraine, North Korea hopes to win Russia’s military support in return, such as help in perfecting its nuclear program and modernizing its outdated conventional weapons systems. That assistance from Moscow would be crucial if the North started a war with the South.
According to Cha Du Hyeogn, a senior analyst at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies in Seoul, the deepening military ties with Pyongyang “mean that Russia now regards North Korea’s nuclear weapons development not as a problem to solve but as something it can accept.”
Цитата:
North Korean troops are in Russia but their purpose is unclear, U.S. says
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin says the U.S. has evidence Pyongyang has deployed military forces, affirming accusations made by Ukraine and South Korea.
...
ROME — Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said Wednesday that the U.S. government has evidence North Korea has sent military forces to Russia, but he told reporters that the purpose of their deployment was not yet clear.
Ukraine and South Korea have repeatedly accused North Korea of sending troops to Russia to aid in its war with the government in Kyiv. NATO and the United States had not previously confirmed the troop movements.
Austin said U.S. analysts continue to scrutinize the issue and “now we are seeing evidence” that there are North Korean troops in Russia.
“What exactly they’re doing is left to be seen,” Austin said. “But yes, there is evidence that there are DPRK troops in Russia,” he added, using the abbreviation for the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.
His comments came after South Korea’s National Intelligence Service said last week that at least 1,500 North Korean special operations troops were training in Russia. The troops had been given Russian uniforms, weapons and IDs, and were being assigned to units composed of Siberian soldiers in a bid to conceal their nationalities, the intelligence agency reported. In a briefing to South Korean lawmakers Wednesday, the spy agency estimated that an additional 1,500 troops had moved into Russia, bringing the total to about 3,000.
A senior Biden administration official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss U.S. intelligence assessments, said there are “thousands of DPRK troops” in Russia to be trained, with no clarity on whether they will fight in Ukraine.
The development raises new, troubling concerns about collaboration between two nuclear-armed nations that have long had a mutually adversarial relationship with the United States. Austin suggested that, depending on the circumstances, its implications could be far-reaching.
“If they’re co-belligerents — if their intention is to participate in this war on Russia’s behalf — that is a very, very serious issue,” Austin said. “It will have impacts, not only in Europe. It will also impact things in the Indo-Pacific as well.”
Austin said it was unclear how North Korea might benefit from the deployment but that it suggested significant weaknesses in the military capability of Russia, which has had to tap allies Iran and North Korea for aid in its war against Ukraine.
“This is an indication that he may be even in more trouble than most people realize,” Austin said of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
South Korea and Ukraine have stepped up their warnings about the North Korean deployment to Russia, which comes as the two nations strengthen their military ties. But top Biden administration officials had not publicly acknowledged any independent corroboration or information about the deployment until Austin’s remarks Wednesday.
On Monday, the deputy U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, Robert Wood, said that if true, the dispatch of North Korean troops was “a dangerous and highly concerning development.” A day later, the secretary general of the NATO alliance, Mark Rutte, said it would be “a significant escalation” — if that was the case.
Moscow and Pyongyang have repeatedly denied that there has been a deployment. A Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman on Wednesday called it a “colossal work of the media propaganda.”
Ukraine has said the deployment includes “several thousand” infantry soldiers who are being trained in Russia and may be dispatched into Ukraine, as well as North Korean advisers already on the front lines.
North Korea has provided munitions to Russia, a sign of the strains the war in Ukraine is posing to Russia’s military. Seoul has reported that Pyongyang has provided some 13,000 containers of weapons to Russia in as many as 70 shipments since August 2023, including missiles, antitank rockets and up to 8 million desperately needed 122mm and 152mm artillery shells.
From the beginning of Russia’s February 2022 invasion, North Korea has expressed strong support for Putin’s war in Ukraine, and the two countries signed a mutual defense pact over the summer, promising to expand military cooperation.
On Monday, South Korea insisted that Russia take “immediate” action to withdraw the North Korean troops. South Korean Vice Foreign Minister Kim Hong-kyun summoned Russian Ambassador Georgy Zinoviev in Seoul to protest the dispatch of North Korean troops to Russia and condemned the move “in the strongest terms,” according to the Foreign Ministry.
South Korea warned Tuesday that it could consider supplying weapons to Ukraine in response to North Korea’s actions — which appeared aimed at pressuring Russia, given the domestic difficulties South Korea would face if it were to send weapons directly to support Kyiv.
Seoul is weighing diplomatic, economic and military options and could consider sending both defensive and offensive weapons to Ukraine, said a senior South Korean official, speaking during a briefing with reporters on the condition of anonymity to discuss security matters.
Since the 1950-53 Korean War halted in a cease-fire, both Koreas have maintained robust artillery and weapons stockpiles in case conflict resumes. As the war in Ukraine drags on, those stockpiles on the Korean Peninsula have come under focus. Russia has apparently been turning to North Korea for its old Soviet-era shells and weapons.
South Korea has a robust defense industry and has been backfilling the U.S. artillery supply and delivering arms, in particular K2 battle tanks and K9 self-propelled howitzers, to Poland since 2022, allowing Warsaw to send its own equipment to Ukraine.
South Korean law bans the export of arms except for a peaceful purpose and has stopped short of supplying weapons directly to Ukraine. But South Korean officials are raising alarms about the potential for Russia to provide coveted weapons technology to North Korea in return for sending troops, saying it could intensify the North’s threats against the South.
South Korean officials said they were considering phased countermeasures depending on the progression of Russian-North Korean military cooperation.
In a Tight Presidential Race, Omaha Is Basking in Its Political Relevance
Reliably conservative Nebraska is one of just two states that splits its Electoral College votes. That’s why its one small “blue dot” could make a difference to Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign.
Jason Brown spray-painted blue dots on white yard signs in his driveway Saturday and ferried stacks of them to arriving cars.Credit...KC McGinnis for The New York Times
For many in Nebraska, autumn typically involves screaming at the television during Cornhusker football games, but the state’s sudden potential to swing the outcome of the super-close presidential race has given voters here something equally exciting: electoral relevance.
High-profile politicians and their surrogates have been parachuting into Nebraska, which is often derided as flyover country when it comes to elections and beyond. The airwaves are clogged with spirited political advertising. Yards are dotted with red or blue signs. Bulletins in churches are stuffed with opinionated voting guides, and preachers are delivering election thoughts from the pulpit.
Nebraska is one of just two states that split its Electoral College votes. (The other is Maine.) By some calculations in the complicated math of predicting the unpredictable outcome of this neck-and-neck race, the Omaha area’s Second Congressional District — a “blue dot” in an otherwise red state — could deliver a single tiebreaking vote for Vice President Kamala Harris on Election Day, a prospect that has focused attention on the region like never before.
Overall, Nebraska votes reliably conservative, just like the other states stacked in a strip in the center of the country. Omaha generally voted Republican too, until it flipped for Barack Obama in 2008, leading Democrats to nickname the city “Obamaha.” It also voted Democratic in the 2020 presidential race, officially marking it as up for grabs.
Democrats are hoping to maintain that hold this year. Some have nicknamed the city “Kamaha” and have decorated lawns, light poles, T-shirts and cheeks with blue dots.
“There are too many people across the United States who feel like their vote, their voice doesn’t matter,” said Ruth Huebner-Brown, who along with her husband was spray-painting blue dots on white yard signs in their driveway on Saturday and ferrying stacks of them to arriving cars. “And honestly, there’s some truth to that if you live in a completely red or completely blue state.”
“Here,” she said, “your voice actually does matter.”
Some Democratic supporters in Omaha have nicknamed the city “Kamaha” and have decorated lawns, light poles, T-shirts and cheeks with blue dots.Credit...KC McGinnis for The New York Times
Last month, allies of former President Donald J. Trump began an effort to return Nebraska to a winner-takes-all electoral voting system, a switch that almost certainly would have given the state’s five votes to the Republican. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina visited Nebraska to push for the change, and Mr. Trump personally phoned into a meeting with Gov. Jim Pillen to lobby for the change. The effort failed, and Democrats say it backfired, energizing their supporters more than ever.
Last weekend in Omaha brought dueling appearances by the Democratic vice-presidential candidate Tim Walz, making his second stop since August, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard, dispatched by Mr. Trump. The Republican House speaker, Mike Johnson, and Democratic House minority leader, Hakeem Jeffries, also turned up to stump for rival congressional candidates and weigh in on the presidential race.
“This is an incredibly important district and an incredibly important state in terms of the future of the United States of America,” Mr. Jeffries said before heading into a crowded event at Big Mama’s Kitchen, a favorite gathering spot for local Democrats.
Omaha, the biggest city in the state, is the birthplace of Malcolm X and is known for hosting baseball’s College World Series. The congressional district includes 414,000 registered voters who live in interlocking suburban areas as well as a few outlying smaller communities.
The presidential race isn’t the only one up for grabs. Representative Don Bacon, a Republican, is locked in a tight race against his Democratic challenger, Tony Vargas, a state senator who came within 6,000 votes of beating him in 2022. The Senate campaign put on by Dan Osborn, a union leader and independent candidate, has rattled Senator Deb Fischer, a Republican, in a race many had thought was a shoo-in for the incumbent.
The outcome of those races could determine control of Congress, further cementing Omaha as the nation’s smallest, swingiest area. In Omaha, so many political gatherings have been underway that some interested voters are having trouble keeping up.
“Wait, what?” Michael Scott, a onetime congressional candidate, said after he was told Mr. Jeffries was speaking across town. He was taking a break at a gathering of some 1,500 Democrats dressed in blue and being herded to form a giant human blue dot, marveling at what he called the “hoopla” over politics in a state that was reliably Republican during his years anchoring local TV news.
Signs for former President Donald J. Trump have popped up in response to Democratic signs with blue dots.Credit...KC McGinnis for The New York Times
A raft of local races and ballot measures is also firing up voters here, including competing abortion measures, one that would further restrict access and another that would offer protections.
In Omaha, televisions yap with constant campaign ads invoking guns and China and a deadly downtown protest over the killing of George Floyd in 2020. Republican signs with red dots topped by a wisp of Trump-like blond hair have popped up in response to Democratic signs with blue dots.
On Sunday, Hank Kunneman, pastor of Omaha’s Lord of Hosts church, offered his hundreds of cheering congregants a vitriolic sermon comparing liberals to ancient Egyptians who he said were communist, socialist and “known for killing their babies,” and told them God has offered up a “candidate like Moses who can deliver you.”
“God is looking as you go to the voting booth,” he said. “If you want more corruption, you want more evil, you want more insanity, you want communism and Marxism and socialism, then you accept the pursuit from the Left.”
Emotions all around were running high.
Lining up to hear Mr. Walz on Saturday was a teary-eyed, shaky-voiced mom worried about her two transgender children, a Vietnam veteran worried about health care and a retired political operative worried about democracy itself.
The Kennedy event drew an Afghan American man angry at President Biden’s military pullout from his home country as well as a retiree who had knocked on 600 doors for Mr. Trump and feared “the border invasion.” Supporters of Ms. Harris are feeling optimistic about a victory; Republicans here complain they have been outspent by millions.
Last weekend in Omaha brought an appearance from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard, dispatched by Mr. Trump.Credit...KC McGinnis for The New York Times
A candidate forum last weekend drew dozens of people from the city’s increasingly diverse population, a factor that is contributing to its liberal tilt in what is a stubbornly segregated city.
In such a small area at such a pivotal time, no group is being taken for granted.
“We feel seen,” said Dr. Nada Fadul, a member of Omaha’s Sudanese community who at the forum Sunday secured commitments from both Democratic and Republican congressional candidates to offer more support for Sudanese refugees. “I’m hoping this will kind of frame Nebraska for people and help them appreciate its value for the country.”
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С сожалением и понятными пожеланиями, Dimitriy.
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